>> Good morning and welcome everyone to this joint meeting of the Denton City Council and
Public Utilities Board. I'm Mayor Pro Tem Jesse Davis and at this time is 1132. I will
formally open the meeting of the City Council and introduce Chair of the Public Utilities
Board, Susan Parker. >> Good morning. It's 1132, so I will call
the Public Utilities Board meeting open. >> Very good. Thank you, Chair Parker. And
with that, I will move us to our one and only work session report, item 1A, ID21341, receive
a report, hold a discussion and give staff direction regarding processes, impacts and
results of service delivery during the February 2021 inclement weather event. By the following
departments, we'll hear from Denton Municipal Electric and the water and wastewater utilities.
And just for the members of the public, these are very in-depth reports we're about to receive.
There are breaks built in for questions. So we'll be taking -- you'll see a slide come
up that says breaks and questions. That's when you can expect your PUB and council members
to be posing the questions. And Tony, are you up?
>> Yes, sir. So Mayor Pro Tem, City Council members, members of the PUB, I appreciate
your time today, and we certainly have a lengthy presentation, about 40 slides. We're going
to try to go through those as efficiently as we can. Again, my name is Tony Puente. I'm
the executive manager for utilities for the city and also serve as the DME general manager.
Before I get started with the presentation, I just wanted to go through just a couple
of items. Just wanted to -- first of all, I want to acknowledge, you know, the trying
times that our customers faced during, you know, this winter storm. We know that, you
know, many of them suffered through extreme, you know, low temperatures. And certainly
some of our customers that are dependent on medical equipment, we understand that they
went through some very anxious times trying to sort out how to take care of themselves
and where to go. And so certainly want to just acknowledge our customers. I also want
to assure our customers that, you know, that they were certainly at the forefront of our
minds and our efforts throughout the storm. You know, their health and safety was certainly
a top priority for our team at Den Municipal Electric, and we certainly worked with many
of our partners across the city, especially our public safety folks, to be able to respond
to calls and some of the information that we were getting. I also want to assure our
customers -- excuse me -- that right from the very beginning, we initiated our rotating
outage plans. We did not hold that back. We immediately put our plan into effect. We also
made some adjustments to that plan, and so while we had some hard lines as we were getting
phone calls from our customers and requests, we did make adjustments to that in order to
be able to address certain things. One of the examples I've given before is that we
increased the outage from 30 minutes to about 45 minutes just trying to make sure that we
accommodated people so that they could have a little bit more time with electricity in
their homes and be able to warm up their homes as best that they could. Again, I want to
thank our public safety partners, and also just wanted to stipulate that as ERCOT was
allowing us to add power back onto the system, we did that. We did not hold back on that
power primarily, again, because of our concerns for the health and safety of our customers,
and so even though we knew that we may be exposed to some financial challenges going
forward, we did not hold that back. We continue to allow power back onto the system to be
able to provide it to our customers. The second item that I wanted to just briefly
just go through is just to thank our DME staff. As you can imagine, it was a very trying time
for them as well. In my view, they acted very valiantly, including the fact that many of
them left their own families and their own loved ones at home in the dark to be able
to come in and provide the services to our customers that they've always been able to
provide, and so I want to acknowledge their efforts and the work that they did and just
thank them. I will tell you, just on a personal level, that I have not worked with people
like this since, frankly, since I was a young 19-year-old Marine being deployed overseas
during the First Gulf War. I'm honored to serve with these folks. They were very valiant.
I will tell you that every single one of them stood their post, right, and they did not
abandon their post. Our folks did everything that they could, and I wanted to thank them,
and I truly believe that at the end of the day, their work and their effort saved people's
lives. We have a number of examples where we worked with FEMA and dialysis centers and
other areas of the community to try to give them at least some power, try to accommodate
them as best we could, and so I truly believe that our efforts did save people's lives,
and lastly, I'll just say that in my book, all these DMA employees and certainly all
our employees across the city, certainly those that we partnered with, are heroes in my book,
and I would hope that you would echo that as well. So with that, I appreciate your indulgence
with that, and I'll go ahead and initiate this presentation.
So just to go through the objectives, I'm going to quickly go through just a little
bit about DME. Hopefully, we'll answer some questions that some of our customers and community
members have. Then I'm going to turn it over to Chris Lutrick. He'll go through some of
our division reports. We'll have a break for questions on that section, and then Terry
Nolte will come up and present some additional division reports, and then at the end, we'll
just have time for questions and just general questions that you may have for me or for
either one of our team members. So just a little bit about DME. DME was established
back in 1905. That's about 116 years of local power that's been provided that the citizens
of Denton have chosen to have. Certainly, from our viewpoint, that provides the maximum
local control. DME is the sixth largest municipally-owned utility in Texas. We're one of about 72
MOEs in the state of Texas. We make up about a third of the total ERCOT market. So about
two-thirds of the ERCOT market is made up of co-ops and private utilities, just to give
you kind of the size of our participation in the ERCOT market. Our governing body is
the city council. We certainly have an advisory board, public utilities board, that advises
the council on all things related to utilities, including DME. And council does adopt our
budget and rates on an annual basis. Over the last two years, our team has really tried
to focus DME and to be in recognizing that we're a department of the city. We're not
a separate entity. And so we've driven this concept of one city, one organization, and
I think our staff have certainly embraced that concept. DME also has a defined service
territory. The main area is certainly the core of the city, but we do have extra-jurisdictional
or ETJ areas, and then there's also some small tracts in the city of Corinth that we also
currently serve. So this includes single, dual, and triple-certified areas, and we'll
talk a little bit more in the next slide about that. So this is just a map for you on areas
that we serve. I know we've had a lot of customers ask, well, why am I with co-serve or Encore?
And this really kind of shows a picture of this green teal area is the single-certified
areas for DME, where we serve the majority of our customers. But in these outlying areas,
we do compete in those areas in dual and triple-certified areas. In some cases, we're duly certified
with co-serve or with Encore, or we're triply certified with those two entities primarily.
And the way that that works is normally that starts at the development process. When a
developer wants to come into one of these dual and triply certified areas, they work
with all three companies, and they make a decision as to who's going to serve that particular
area. I'll tell you that the vast majority of developers do choose DME, and so we anticipate,
just like in Hunter and Coal Ranch as an example, we're going to serve the majority of those
two developments that will continue to expand outside of the core city area. And just really
quick, once that decision is made on who's going to serve that particular area, that
dual or triple certification does not end. So that continues. But as you can imagine,
it's very cost prohibitive for another provider to come into that area. Certainly, there'll
be restrictions related to available right away and such, and there'll be some additional
expenses that may be incurred to be able to switch. But again, I wanted to just quickly
just show that because we have a lot of customers that ask questions about, well, why are my
lights off or my lights on? Some of the explanations that you may have been with a different provider
and not the municipal electric. This is our current organizational structure. I'm not
going to go through it in detail, just simply to say that you'll be hearing from Terry and
myself again in our dual roles here. Terry does also oversee the water wastewater utilities
as the interim director for water wastewater, but he serves as the assistant general manager
for DME. And of course, I have a dual role as well in that we oversee the other city
utilities, including the municipal electric. Over on the right-hand side, I did want to
point out just quickly that really over the last three years now, really starting in May
of 2019, we've worked to right-size not only our budget, but certainly our staffing levels.
We engaged an external party to help us go through and look at FTE counts and just our
organization in general. And so over the last two years going into our 2021 budget, we did
certainly see about a $9 million reduction in our operating budget, and we saw about
20 positions that we eliminated in the budget. And again, we did that very purposeful as
part of just a wider right-sizing of our budget and our organization. So with that, I'm going
to turn it over to Chris Luttrek to come in and cover his areas of responsibility.
Thank you, Tony. Before I get started, I would just like to reiterate a few things that Tony
said. I'd like to thank our customers for the patience that they provided us during
the winter event. And just to reiterate, what an honor it was to work next to all of our
DME staff. It was very trying times. As you know, a lot of the work was done outside,
very demanding conditions, and our guys just never back down. So this was an unprecedented
event for us. We never knew what the next hour might hold, but our guys were always
up to the task, that they never back down, and they did what they had to do to get the
job done. So again, it was just an honor to work alongside them during the event. So I'm
Chris Luttrek. I'm the executive manager of operations. I oversee the day-to-day electrical
operations of the utility, and I will be covering our DME system response to the winter event.
I'll start with talking about ERCOT's role during that week. As you know, that's an acronym
that has received a lot of media attention over the last month. And the acronym stands
for the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. They're a quasi-governmental organization
that manages the electric power to about 24 million Texans, which represents about 90%
of the state's electrical load and covers about 75% of the land. It is wholly contained
within the borders of Texas, and I should state that ERCOT does not own or operate any
equipment. They simply oversee the interconnection of the 17 transmission distribution service
providers who do own and operate the equipment and interconnected. Their main task are they
coordinate the operation of more than 550 generation units. They're spread out over
the state of Texas. They coordinate the operation of 46,500 circuit miles of high voltage transmission
lines that are required to transport that power from the generators to the load centers.
My colleague Terry Nalty will discuss this next bullet in detail in his presentation,
but another function of ERCOT is they manage the financial settlement for the competitive
wholesale bulk power market in Texas. Here's a fraction that will become important in my
presentation. DME represents 0.5% of ERCOT. That allocation and obligation is assessed
every year, and it's based on the peak summer load of the utilities, and ours currently
stands at 375 megawatts. So now we'll get to the event. And again, we're talking about
the event starting on Saturday, February 14th, and working our way towards Thursday. I think
that's February 18th. So at that time, the grid was under a lot of strain. Loads were
very high, and ERCOT at 1.20 a.m., the reserve margins had been compromised. At that time,
they entered a load shed event. So as you see, the nominal frequency of the ERCOT grid
is 60 hertz. Small deviations above and below that are normal, but when the frequency starts
to vary either above or below 60 hertz, that's an indication that the grid is under stress.
So as you see in this 30-minute or 40-minute snapshot here, a lot of things happen. So
the first events here are there's generators are tripping offline. So we already were in
a – our capacity reserves were compromised. We have generators tripping offline. So as
you'll see, the graph begins to trend downward. That means the frequency is moving away from
60 hertz. So about – right at about 1.43, you see the graph gets pretty steep. This
is an indication that the grid is in trouble. ERCOT orders another load shed instruction.
Then again, as you notice, three more generation outages occurred, and the graph gets really
steep. This is the time when we were headed towards a blackout condition if ERCOT did
not take the proper steps to mitigate this frequency decay. So again, the first threshold
was hit, the 59.4 hertz. At that point, the generators can only operate for nine minutes.
At that point, they have protective devices called relays that would have then taken additional
generation that was able to function offline to protect the equipment. During the event,
so ERCOT ordered another big chunk of load shed – that was 3,000 megawatts – to try
to mitigate that frequency decay. And we came close because, if you notice on the graph,
we were below that threshold for four minutes and 23 seconds before the frequency was able
to start its recovery. And an important note on the bottom right-hand corner is the minimum
frequency that was recorded was 59.302. That's an important number, and I will further expand
on that later in my presentation. Now on to DMEs, to our part of this load shed
event. At the time the load shed began at 1.20 a.m. on Monday, February 15th, the city's
net load was 275 megawatts. That probably was about 100 to 125 megawatts higher than
your typical February evening. And actually, the previous day, which would have been Sunday
morning, we set our peak – our all-time winter peak – of 304 megawatts. So to give
you the context over the whole load shed event, ERCOT ultimately required operators to shed
20,000 megawatts of power from the grid. And to put that in context, at that time the total
grid load was about 70,000. So nearly one-third of the load on the ERCOT grid was instructed
to be shed. To break that down to our portion again, it's based on your obligation now,
and that's still the half a percent. So out of the 20,000 megawatts, we were required
to shed 100 megawatts at the peak, or about 36 percent of the city's net load.
This event that I detailed on the previous slide that started at 1.20 a.m. on Monday
persisted through – I believe it is 12.39 a.m. on Thursday morning, so a total event
duration of about 59 hours. So how did we go about the load shed? We have a load shed
plan. I'll start with – this plan is confidential, as it contains critical energy and electric
infrastructure information. It has our hospitals, police departments, fire stations. They are
identified in the plan as well as what circuit they're on. So if that information was to
become public, bad actors would have a roadmap for doing the most sabotage or destruction
to our infrastructure. Therefore, those plans are confidential.
So that being said, the plan is updated annually, along with our ERCOT emergency operation plan.
They're submitted to ERCOT, and it contains two main components for shedding load. The
first is under-frequency load shed. That's a pretty fancy title there, and I will explain
that further on the next slide. And emergency load shed – that was the method that was
utilized during this event by our operators. And I'll finish this slide by saying that
DME is obligated to comply with ERCOT operating instructions. This is directed by NERC. NERC
is the North American Electric Reliability Council. They're a federal entity that oversees
the operation of electric utilities across the country. Our obligations are detailed
in the ERCOT operating guides and protocols. So to detail the two different methods of
load shed, I'll start with emergency load shed. That is a controlled rotating outage.
During the event, we saw a lot of social media that used the word "blackout." ERCOT,
that means something different. So to ERCOT, a blackout is if you were to go up in space
and take a picture, the state of Texas would be dark. At that point, the grid has failed.
There is no transmission voltage, and 24 million people are without power. So this is – I'll
use the word outage or try to use the word outage for the rest of the presentation. Again,
they're controlled. They are initiated by our system operations. They can be done remotely.
And again, our obligation is 5 percent of the total ERCOT load. And so when we're issued
a directive or an instruction from ERCOT, we get on a call with the other 16 TDSPs,
and as that graph showed, your load shed instruction is 1,000 megawatts. And then that was acknowledged,
and then that meant that 1,000 became 5 megawatts for us. So everybody got the same instructions.
They're done verbally over the phone. You acknowledge it, and then you're obligated
to perform that load shed as soon as possible. Our plan we had in place utilizes feeders
that do not contain critical loads. Those are 43 feeders that we identified. They're
mainly residential and commercial loads, and they would be the first load that is shed
when instructed by ERCOT. Our plan was tweaked after the 2011 event, winter event. I think
that was during the Super Bowl. That was the last time that ERCOT had issued a load shed
event. For that event, the duration was six hours, about six hours, and DME's portion
of that event was 20 megawatts. So at that time, in evaluating that, this is as bad as
it can get. So we added 50 percent to that to bump that to 30 megawatts. And to roll
30 megawatts, we have to have two blocks, an A and a B. So when the A is on, the B would
be off. So we had to identify 60 megawatts or twice your allotment for our plan. And
our original plan, as Tony mentioned earlier, called for a 30-minute outage. That's what
we entered in this event. That was our plan. The second load shed method is the under-frequency
load shed as dictated here. This is the automatic non-rotating outages. All TDSPs in ERCOT are
required to have a minimum of 25 percent of their load that are fed from circuits that
have these protective relays on them that can sense the frequency of the grid. And what
this is is the grid is under a lot of stress. And our relays, like the first one, the 59.3,
the importance of that first number I told you was 59.302. We were two thousandths of
a hertz away from this group of relays opening up across ERCOT. And at that point, automatically,
those feeders would have opened up and a minimum of five percent of the load would have been
shed. Again, it's a built-in feature to try to save the grid to avoid the blackout condition.
There's three groups. So as the frequency continues to decay, the next group two would
open up and then group three would open up. And I should note, if those relays were to
open or to operate at that point, those circuits are under the control of ERCOT and you cannot
restore power to those circuits until ERCOT issues the instruction. So again, those relays
did not operate during this event and they have never operated on our system. They're
a very rare occurrence, but they're a last ditch effort to shed load to save the grid.
The next main component of the load shed plan is it requires you to prioritize your loads.
So this takes all of your customer bases and it doesn't exactly tell you how you need to
classify them. It just tells them that you do need to classify them. So classifying the
critical load, that is established by the Texas Administrative Code, done through the
PUCT and it lists four categories of critical load customers. The first being the critical
load public safety customer. As you can imagine, that's your major fire stations, police department,
water treatment plants, sewage treatment plants, emergency operation centers and your major
hospitals. Critical load industrial customer. I don't think we have any of those on our
system. They have to do with endangering public in retail establishments. And then the last
two classes we do have on our system, those are the chronic condition residential customer
and the critical care customer. These are programs that customers in ERCOT can apply.
There's some qualifications for them, but they actually are basically notifying the
utility, hey, I'm here, here's my address and I have some medical equipment that needs
to be, you know, that operates off the electrical grid. But it should be noted at the bottom
also in that code is a statement that says, "Designation as a critical load customer,
a critical care residential customer, or a chronic condition care customer does not guarantee
the uninterrupted supply of electricity." That was one of the questions that was out,
that was floating around. For load shed at that point, you're trying to stabilize the
grid. So those customers are not guaranteed, actually any customer is not guaranteed uninterrupted
supply of electricity, either via mother nature with a storm or equipment failure or a rotating
outage. But our load shed plan, we do take those into consideration. So we have four
categories that are listed here and followed by basically our fifth category, which is
our emergency load shed feeders. So category one is our critical load public safety customers
from, as described right above. These are our major hospitals, police department, fire
stations, basically health and human services, so they can continue to provide those services
for our residents. Categories two, three and four, due to the size of this load shed event,
they were in the rotation. So again, I have some graphs that will detail that out. Feeder
utilization during load shed, just some information about our system. DME has 107 feeders that
carry load. Just a quick tutorial there, a feeder is basically electrical circuit that
originates at a substation circuit breaker, it runs out into our territory to serve load.
They're generally pretty long, you know, three or four miles, three or four miles long, they're
designed to carry a maximum of 13 megawatts. We tend to try to load to keep those balance
at about eight so that we have some switching capabilities. The feeders are segmented by
switches and other equipment that can allows us to intertie these circuits from one to
the other. This gives us flexibility in balancing our load through the different seasons, responding
to outages, maintenance activities, that's our flexibility. But I should say that's large
sections of those circuits can be moved to another one. We cannot move individual customers
from one circuit to another. That can be done, but it would be very expensive and you basically
have to build the infrastructure to do that. So that being said, 17 of the feeders on our
system serve the critical infrastructure load. That's the category one on the previous slide.
That's your major hospitals, water, wastewater facilities, police and fire. These feeders
did not experience any outages during the event. The remaining 90 feeders on our circuit,
on our system were utilized to get us through the rotating outages. And to put that in context,
at the peak on Monday evening, our load shed instruction was 100 megawatts. We had to take
230 megawatts off of our system to roll over to the next 100 megawatts of load shed. So
once you're in a load shed condition, you cannot exceed that amount. So the load you
have on, you actually have to take that off. So you have both blocks off before you bring
the next one on. If not, you would actually be putting more load on the grid, which would
defeat the purpose. But at that point, that 230 megawatts affected about 43,000 of our
customers. So we had two thirds of our 60,000 customers were without power during these
rotation periods. So back to our plan, we originally had 43 feeders identified for load
shed. That would have accommodated a request of 30 megawatts. And it took an additional
47 feeders that did have critical service loads. We had to put them into the mix to
maintain our goal of maintaining the rotating outages. This is a pretty angry looking graph,
but it kind of details the rotation cycles that we did have. So it starts on the very
left at 1.26 a.m. on Sunday. And I know that print's very small. On Sunday, you just have
to take my word for it. That's when we started. So we were at zero load shed. That graph I
initially showed you of the situation where the system was about to collapse, that's the
steep incline here in our load shed instruction. So ERCOT was able to use load shed to mitigate
the frequency decay, stabilize the grid. And then the rest of this orange line is our portion
of the load shed instruction throughout the day. During the day, the load, maybe some
generators come on and off. At this point, the only way ERCOT was able to allow any extra
load to come on the system as if extra generation came on the system. So the orange line in
the middle is our load shed requirement. Here on Monday evening, it peaked at 100 megawatts.
So and as you can see, the blue spike was the 230 megawatts that it took for us to roll
on the next 100 megawatt block. So as the situation improved over the 59 hours, you
can see the line trending down. But this just shows one of our one of our accomplishments
that I'll wrap up my presentation with. We never stopped rotating outages, regardless
of what the load shed requirement was. Our next graph here is just that prioritization
that I spoke of our load that this details that out. Our 17 feeders that serve our critical
load, they were not rotated. So and then as we prioritize our circuit, you see we had
to get right up to the right up to those 17 circuits. But we were able to to to rotate
the frequency, we were able to minimize the frequency rotation of our critical customers
based on the amount of load shed instructions we had from ERCOT. And on the right is our
load shed feeders that were originally designed. They carried the bulk of our rotating bulk
of the of the workload in meeting our load shed requirements for this event. So on to
another type of outage. So systems really weren't meant to be rotated on and off as
we were required to do. So especially with the temperatures that we were facing. So this
graph details our fuse overload. So out on our system, we have some protective devices.
They're usually saved for squirrel suicides. But basically, they're they're they're a dumb
protective device that's that's meant to melt out at a certain power load. So it's like
the old fuses you would have in your car or maybe a circuit breaker at your house. They're
segment the circuit out so that if there's a fault at one part, that fuse melts out and
protects the rest of the circuit. At that point, we normally have an outage management
system we would know that we would roll a truck that replaced the fuses and the power
comes back on. So I know especially the PB talking about our reliability reports we give
you the bulk of those are our outages that are repaired in 35 to 45 minutes. Those are
fuse replacements. But the issue we had during the rotating outages is if you can imagine
your house and I'm sure everybody was setting through that when your power was out for an
hour, you're setting there and then power is restored to your circuit, all of your electrical
devices came on at once. So that's the same for your neighbors. That's the same for for
every one of our customers on our on our circuits. Now while we were able to handle the the neighborhoods
that predominantly had gas heat, the electrical demand on those was much lower. Our neighborhoods
that had a lot of electric heat, we struggled with that. So every time we would pick that
circuit back up, the cold load pickup or the additional load of all of the electrical devices
coming on at once was burning out our fuses. So this graph represents the 172 phone calls
that we received because people were letting us know their power was out. We were able
to verify that a lot of those they were voicemails, that their power was just in a rotating outage
and it came back on. But actually 47 of those calls were fuse burnouts and or transformers.
And we rolled a service truck to get those those customers back on. So now on to our
field operations. These are the our line and substation field crews. These are the men
and women that that replaced all of those fuses and replace transformers. And so in
knowing we didn't foresee the rolling outages. But what we did foresee is the NOAA forecast
that called for some freezing rain that would precede the snow that we're going to receive
on Sunday. That's a very that's a very treacherous travel condition for our staff. That and also
the freezing rain is is is they're much like tornadoes are to to the electric utility.
They're very hard on your aerial equipment, the ice builds up and puts a substantial amount
of weight on your on your lines and your poles. So knowing that was coming, we actually brought
some DME crews in to Denton and we staged them in a hotel near near our yard so that
they could quickly respond to any outages. We placed we told all field personnel were
put on notice to be available for storm response. And due to the subzero temps and the forecasted
wind chills of minus 10 to minus 15, we canceled all non outage operations. And finally, our
winter storm event kicked off for us on Sunday evening. We had a piece of underground con
or conductor fail that ended up tripping off a one of our substation power transformers.
And this led to an outage in a subdivision that that ended up being our most difficult
to recover. And I'll speak about that a little later in the presentation. So the roadie net
rolling outages, as I've mentioned, they commenced at 1 20am on Monday, February 15. And as I
just spoke, spoke, spoke to the rolling outages during the extreme low temperatures caused
numerous equipment failures. That's the cold load pickup. And that's a topic that I'll
keep talking about that caused us quite a bit of issue. So our effort from our from
our staff what took 5555 of our staff coming from our maintenance, construction, substation
and metering groups that began working Sunday evening around the clock and continued working
in shifts up to 16 hours for the duration of the event. The primary work they performed
was fuse and transformer replacement. After the rolling outages come back on customers
and notify us their power was out. We verify that and then we had to go get them back on.
And again, our staff who did a wonderful job through this worked about 174 calls during
the storm event. Onto engineering, our two systems, our transmission system, as you can
imagine performed quite well. With the amount of load shed that was on the grid, the transmission
system was not stressed at all. And our transmission voltage voltage was maintained for the duration
of the event. Our distribution system, we had two all electric subdivisions that were
on individual feeders, the village of Carmel. That's the outage that kicked off the response
on Sunday evening. That circuit is primarily electric heat. So when we energized the circuit
for both of these two subdivisions, we were unable to pick those circuits up. Our guys
worked very diligently. And we actually ended up having to segment the circuit in the field
and bring it on a little bit at a time. But once we did that, we could get some heat back
in those houses. We could better manage that situation. 11 distribution transformers failed.
Probable cause was overloading again for that cold load pickup, the sudden inrush of power
when we were to energize the circuit. Engineering. So as you've seen, we had a plan for 30 megawatts
for our load shed that quickly went out the window. So on the fly Monday morning, engineering
developed tools for our system operators to manage, to be able to allow, to spread those
rotating outages amongst our 90 remaining feeders. So that tool was invaluable. And that's what
our operators used to get us through this event. They provided recommendations for load
switching and subdivision load balancing. Again, primarily for those two subdivisions
that I previously mentioned. We had an issue with the Lake Louisville water intake facility.
So that's the raw water supply for the Lake Louisville water treatment plant. We actually,
it's down on the North shore of Lake Louisville, down by the I-35 bridge. We actually power
that from our system. So we have a circuit that runs all the way down by the DCTA through
Corinth to the water treatment plant. We began noticing some phase imbalance measurements
on our SCADA system. And so that's an indication that something was not right. So while the
pumps were still running, we had a power quality issue. We worked with our colleagues at the
water intake facility. We actually were able to take this facility offline, two brief moments
to try to troubleshoot the transformers, to try to figure out what the issue was. We weren't
able to do that. We brought them back on. They ran the night. And at sunup, one of our
crews actually found a damaged switch. It's in a remote part of the circuit on Swisher
Road down behind the QT. And that was causing our issue. We were able to quickly get a jumper
on that and restore the power quality to the facility. And finally, engineering helped
provide, as you can imagine, we generated a lot of rolling outage data through this event.
And they helped our system ops pull that into one source. Our business services, as you
could imagine, our key customers were really affected by this event. As our emergency loadshed
features are primarily our residential and small commercial customers, their electrical
equipment at their house is better suited for rolling outage. So your house, other than
the code load pickup, most of your appliances are not affected by this. Whereas you have
sensitive electronics, you have large motors, they just cannot work through a rotating power
outage. So our customers started calling. We contacted them. They contacted us. Many
of these customers were notified that they would have gas curtailment was a possibility.
So these customers shown here, they let us know that they were not going to be a full
operation or any operation during the duration of this event. So what that did was basically
a demand response loadshed that helped the grid by keeping these customers or our large
portion of our load. I should also note that it's not on here, but the target distribution
center out by the airport is a 100% automated facility. So we were getting calls from them.
Our load, our rotating outages were giving them fits. So they were basically bringing
their operation to a standstill and they actually proposed an idea if we could come cut them
loose from the grid, they could run on their generators and provide minimal service, minimum
business function for their facility. So we accommodated them. We went out. We disconnected
the transformer. They ran on their generator towards the end of the event. They gave us
a call. We hooked them back up. We've since had some meetings with them to see how if
this was to ever happen again, how we could better work together through that situation.
Customer outreach, we utilized the social media, both the DME, Twitter and the city's
social media accounts to communicate the request for conservation. This was prior to the event
and to relay ERCOT's current emergency levels. We also began, we have some canned messages
that we began sending out the week before any winter storm saying, you know, take precautions,
have water ready, that sort of stuff. So we got that information out. And another thing
is that that kind of evolved during the event is a lot of people use Twitter. So we were
able to be notified of a lot of power outages via Twitter, which took some stress off of
our utility dispatchers who were in unindated with phone calls, as you can imagine. The
last issue here is the energy management back office. As Terry will detail here a little
bit later, that's the function where they settle our collateral invoice payments with
ERCOT. As Terry will mention, ERCOT is kind of like a prepay system. So nobody's extended
any credit. You have to have the money in place before you actually use the electricity.
So they were very busy working with DME management and city finance during these unprecedented
times to make sure that we met all of our ERCOT obligations. Regulatory and compliance,
our main issues were system reliability and cyber security. And I'll start with here,
this next bullet point is transmission operators, requirement five of the NERC, again, that's
National Electric North American Electric Reliability Council. Rule five states that
each transmission operator, generator operator, and distribution provider shall comply with
each operating instruction issued by its balancing authority. And in this case, the balancing
authority for the Texas grid is ERCOT. So we were all three of those and by this requirement,
we were obligated to comply with those instructions. Our operators did, we complied with all ERCOT
load shed instructions, both to add load and to remove load during the duration of the
event. And therefore, with the excellent performance of our system operators, there were no observable
violations of the NERC requirements. And again, thank you for the patience. This is the last
slide. So just giving you a heads up. So challenges, communications were a big challenge for us.
Our utility dispatchers and system operators filled at almost 9,000 phone calls the week
of February the 13th. Our normal monthly call volume is about 2,100 calls. So they were
on the phone constantly, you know, customers looking for information, when is this outage
going to end? Why is it going on? Just a lot of questions that we couldn't ask. So communications
with our customers and from our customers was a challenge. And also this event also
brought to light that a lot of our customers that had sensitive electrical needs, where
they probably needed uninterruptible electricity, did not have backup generators. So therefore,
they solely relied on grid power. And we weren't able to provide that around the clock. Critical
infrastructure and customer identification process. We identified some of our critical
infrastructure customers by them giving us a call saying, hey, why'd you cut my power
off? Well, we didn't know you were there. So that was a learning curve for us. And I'll
get to how we dealt with that on the success side. The extreme cold temperatures provided
a very harsh work environment for our staff, as well as our equipment. The majority of
our equipment is diesel powered and it's tough to get diesel engines started at five below.
Our outage processing technology, that is our outage management system that our system
operators use to manage the grid. When we initiated the rolling outages, it was not
designed for that and it crashed. So during the remainder of the storm event, we utilize
legal pads, pins and sticky notes. That's how we managed the outage. And again, I'll
skip down the load shed feeder and load tracking. Our SCADA system was functional the whole
time. But as I mentioned, we have 107 feeders. So knowing the status of any of those feeders
at any one time, it's a daunting task. So we've had operators working 12 hours who have
done 12 or 14 of these rotating outages. When we handed that off to the next shift operators,
we dropped a couple circuits. So we made a mistake. Those circuits experienced outages
longer than they needed. But we were able to identify our error and we actually came
up with an audit system pretty quickly so that the shift that was coming on could audit
the previous load shed and identify the status of all feeders. And we eliminated that. We
eliminated that error. And again, I think I've mentioned that five times a cold load
pickup was a struggle for us. Successes. I bolded the first two statements. The first
is we maintain the ERCOT interconnect. I cannot overemphasize the misery that would have bestowed
all 24 million Texans if the grid would have failed. As I mentioned, you're looking at
some of the coldest temperatures ever recorded in Texas all the way down to South Padre.
And I'm definitely sure we would not have gotten the power back on for those five days
that the extreme cold temperatures were here. So we were a part of that. We did our part
as well as our other colleagues that operate the grid. So that was one of our bigger successes.
On a more local success note, we maintained the rotating outages. As the aftermath of
this has been discussed, as far as I know, we're the largest -- we're the only utility
of our size or larger that maintained rotating outages for the duration of the event. Now,
this was a major inconvenience for our customers. But what it did do was allow us to keep heat
in these houses by taking whatever power we had allocated for us and we were able to spread
that amongst all of our customers. I'm fortunate enough not to have DME power. I have Encore.
I did not have power for 90 hours. So it's -- that's a big deal. It took a lot of creative
thinking and it took a lot of hard work by our staff to be able to maintain those rotating
outages. And I'm very proud that we were able to do that. As Tony mentioned earlier,
we provided some effective critical care customers that weren't prepared. So we answered phone
calls. An elderly gentleman, he did not want 911. He did not want to go to the warming
center. But he had some equipment that he says wasn't charging correctly. Our lineman
grabbed a small generator and extension cord, drove to his house, plugged his equipment
in and charged it. So there's lots of stories about that. That's what I said. I never knew
what the next hour was going to -- was going to have in store for us. But we just tackled
those as they came along. We had a couple customers, had some equipment. Hey, can you
give us an extra rotation cycle and I think we'll be good. So we were able to accommodate
those type of requests through the duration of the event, kind of on a one-off basis.
One of our success stories is we identified, as Tony mentioned, a dialysis clinic that
we didn't know was there. Doctor left us a message. We gave him a call. Hey, I have 50
patients that have to have this treatment. If not, they have to go into the hospital.
Is there anything you can do? I don't have a generator back up. We were able to work
with the doctor so that he -- we could give him a time slot allocated during the day that
we would not rotate his circuits. He could get all of his patients, their treatment,
and then that circuit would roll in over the night hours back into the rotation. So again,
that was -- we were able to get those patients their needed treatment. And we maintained
our critical services for our citizens. So again, I stated a couple of times, the hospitals,
fire department, police department, utilities did not lose electricity. And finally, as
we started out, our original plan of 30 minutes through some feedback from our customers,
it was not adequate. Their houses were getting colder, beach rotation. So we were able to
adjust that to 45 minutes, which seemed to alleviate those cooling of those houses. So
with that, I made it to the end, and I'd be glad to answer any questions.
Thank you, Chris. If you could pull the slide down for us. And council members and board
members, what I'll do -- I'll just kind of remind us real quickly of the topics that
Chris covered. We have quite a few topics left to be covered by other presenters. So
if we'll be careful just to contain our questions to what Chris just covered for us, there'll
be lots of time to ask questions later about other items. He told us about utility dispatch
and operations, field operations, engineering and customer relations, and regulatory compliance.
And then folks who are just turning -- tuning in now, if you don't hear questions on other
topics right away, that's because we're going to get to those topics in just a little while.
Also, if you all have more than, say, three questions, if you could hold onto those, I'll
ask you to ask maybe your first three questions for each presenter, and then we'll kind of
go through the rotation and we'll come back around for anything after that just to make
sure everybody has a chance. So I see Mr. Rybak has a hand up. Lee, if you could go
ahead and ask your questions.
>> Yes, sir. I just wanted to get clarification from Chris about this duration of the event
of the 59.3 hertz. I know that was just a small data point in everything you covered.
Could you clarify a little bit more about that particular trough, if you will, and the
performance of the grid?
>> Yes, sir. So at that point, that was the 59.4, that the generators can only operate
below that frequency for nine minutes. So I believe the duration that that trough represents
was four minutes and 23 seconds. So if you'll notice in there, there was a big load shed
block of about 3,000 megawatts that seemed to do the trick and turn the tide. And as
the frequency began to recover and exited that 59.4 and began to recover at that point.
>> Thank you.
>> Yes, sir. Other questions? Council Member Meltzer?
>> I've commented repeatedly prior to this meeting about how outstanding DME staff was.
Thank you for giving people greater insight into that. I have a kind of hypothetical question
I'm asking on behalf of some members of the public who wonder about this. Some people
believe because they were told by city officials at that time, mostly people who are not with
the city, that the deck was meant to cover us when renewable power wasn't adequate and
that it's -- and that I'll actually quote from a Renewable Denton presentation. We need
to secure reliable source of dispatchable on-demand power, something that can ramp up
and down quickly in response to renewable variability. So not in response to ERCOT prices.
I mean, ERCOT grid was mentioned, probably very hard to explain to the public, but a
lot of people believe that that should have -- our plant should have protected us so we
wouldn't have had to do rolling blackouts. I'm just -- the hypothetical is, if in a world
that we don't live in, the plant was functioning the way people were led to believe and just
serving Denton, given that we had our own outage, would we have avoided rolling blackouts
or what would the consequence have been if we were just responding to our own outage
rather than, you know, the broad state of energy supply in Texas?
>> Yes, sir. Councilmember Meltzer, thank you for the question. And Mr. Terry Nalti is going
to hop on here and provide you an answer. >> Yes. Can you hear me?
>> Yeah. >> Okay. Councilmember Meltzer, so with regard
to the Denton energy center being available to serve the load of the city of Denton, I
think while I understand your concern and perhaps that was a message that was delivered
at some point in the past, what's curious to me is that all during the discussions of
the Denton energy center, Denton and ERCOT market existed, and in that market paradigm,
there is no way that a single unit can be used to serve a load of an individual city.
It must be injected into the market, and you must purchase your energy from the market.
And as I'll get into in my presentation later, the mechanics of the market are set up that
way so that as a member of ERCOT, we're able to use the transmission grid to move power
from remote power facilities to serve the load of the rest of the market at the lowest
cost. And so I would just say that if that was a statement, then it was probably incorrect.
It was incorrect. And that potential never existed. Secondly, local outages are dealt
with the same way as a large outage as we just experienced in that when we have a local
outage, Chris's crews are dispatched to go out and make changes to the distribution or
transmission system in the locality around Denton in order to try to remedy that outage.
ERCOT does not have employees that are dispatched out to make repairs to the grid. Each of the
members of ERCOT provide those services for their own transmission system and for their
own distribution system. Does that answer your question, sir?
Well, partly. I mean, first of all, I think it's helpful that we're just because we need
the public to trust us on so many things, especially on this topic. There's a lot that
they've had to just endure and there's more to come. So the public needs to know that
we're dealing as openly and forthrightly as possible. So I think acknowledging that the
deck wasn't presented in a way that mirrors the reality at the time even is important.
But I'm really asking for help responding to questions I get to say, well, even though
you and I both know it's counterfactual, you can't have the plant just support us. It doesn't
work that way. We're backed up by the grid. But the question that I get is, but if it
could, would that have worked? Would we have not had outages? And I think the fact of the
matter is we had an outage ourselves. So in that hypothetical world, that would have had
some consequences too. And I was looking for an opinion on what would that have been? And
just before you try to respond, if you can, I accept on just logic that we're more secure
backed up, except in this one week. Theoretically, we're more secure being backed up by all the
production in Texas than being backed up by just one plant. So I'm not questioning that.
But some people do. So I'm looking for your opinion of if that were the case, it did function
the way we know it couldn't, wouldn't there have been consequences too?
Yes, sir. So the Denton Energy Center, as you know, is a 225 megawatt facility and had
it been available to run and assuming that hypothetically, it was only connected to the
load of Denton, it would have been able to serve up to 225 megawatts of load. And as
Chris has indicated, the peak load was 325 megawatts. So we would still have had outages
in the market in the Denton area. And as you properly point out, when we lost gas pressure
at the facility and it went away, we would have had no power at all, zero power for the
community.
Okay, thanks. I appreciate that. Thanks for clarifying all that.
Just a quick little follow up on that before we take the next question. I just want to
clarify for folks watching and anyone here on the panel that no one that's presenting
to us today was or the personnel who are presenting the deck, the Denton Energy Center back in
2016 and also point out Councilmember Meltzer, I'm looking at the slide you just read from
slide number two of the renewable Denton slides. And there's nothing in the statement you read
that says this plant will be for Denton. It speaks in a very broad terms. It speaks in
renewable energy broadly, whether or not someone interpreted that way or whether or not in
another conversation, even a private conversation, it was presented that way. In just the statement
that you read, there's nothing in that statement that says to ramp up specifically Denton or
to supplement specifically Denton's renewables.
Well, I mean, if you'll allow me to respond, this is not, it's not that productive for
us to talk about, you know, too long for about what was said several years ago, but I assure
you, you will not find even the mention of the existence of a grid or ERCOT. I don't
think that concept was explained. So it's really the only, you know, reasonable conclusion
to the general public, but, you know, I'm satisfied that we've, you know, brought up
the point and it is a source of why members of the public are confused and hopefully now
we've addressed that.
Sure. I think that's, I think that's a fair enough point. Just when we get to the next
portion, when Terry presents, I think it's important to keep the full context of that
conversation in mind, what public perception was, what the actual message conveyed was.
They, they very well may have been two different things. Other questions for Chris's portion
of the presentation? Council member Ryan.
Thank you. Just for, for public knowledge, a lot of people think that if they didn't
lose power during the storm, it's because they were on a hospital circuit and we have
a lot of water and wastewater infrastructure throughout the city that if we've got 107
feeders on average, Chris, how many homes would that look like for per circuit?
Well, we can do some quick math there, council member Ryan. As we looked at our data through
the, through the winter event here, our all electric homes, we were averaging about 157
homes or customers per megawatt for our gas heat areas. That number was close to 250 homes
per megawatt. So if you look at 200 and we have eight megawatts per feeder, you're talking
about 1600, roughly 1600 homes per feeder. Just our customers per feeder would be a ballpark.
And I bring that up simply because I had a couple of people who live close to a, a lift
station that thought that they were on a hospital circuit when they were four miles away from
a hospital. So, you know, there are other items that are out there that we did keep
on that are necessary to, you know, lift stations, you definitely don't want going down during
that type of a storm, rather. Yes, sir. That's correct. And as again, that I mentioned that
plan is confidential, but there's 17, 17 feeders out there that supply that, that infrastructure.
And we have two major hospitals. So as you can see, there's, there's, there's a handful
of circuits that aren't connected to the hospital that aren't providing power to other critical
loads. And as I mentioned, we can't pick and choose which customers on a circuit that we
can, that can, we can remove power from. So yeah, we have some, you know, some customers
that maybe as, as one side of the street is one circuit, the other side of the street
is the other circuit. And I know that was a point of contention was they might've been
on a critical circuit and their power didn't go off. Whereas across the street was a different
circuit. So that, that, that kind of explains that. But yes, there are other facilities,
power stations, the water treatment plants that were, that were on that critical list
that they, they remained on during the event. Okay. Any other questions for Chris? I've
just, go ahead. I see. Do I hear somebody? Council member Johnson, is that you? Yes.
Very good. Go ahead. I heard him say that during the, during that time there was a target
was called out, called them out and they were released from the grid because they had generators
to back them up for a certain amount of time. Is that possibly something that we could,
different places could consider that would make it a lighter for the load that perhaps
if we were in this situation again? Council member Johnson, they had specialized equipment
and the way they were set up is if their switches detected grid power, that their generators
would not come on. There are facilities in Denton that have backup generators where they
fell over, they lose power and that generator automatically comes on. So that technology
is out there. That was a very unique situation to disconnect someone from the utility grid,
but that was the only way, the way their system was designed. That's the only way they could
run solely off of their generators was to remove the, our source of power from their
facility. Okay. Other questions for Chris? Chris, I've just got a couple myself. Is it
possible for someone to know, you know, the big joke kind of going around social media
after this was you used to want to know if the house you're buying was in a good school
zone or not. Now you want to know if you're on a hospital feeder or not. Is it possible
given the confidentiality of some of the stuff you described for us, for people to know if
they're on a lift station feeder, if they're on a hospital feeder or something like that?
No, sir. There is not that again, that that plan is confidential. Probably got a lot of
just real real world knowledge during this event. But one thing that I have to stress
is our grid is, is, is it's not static, it's dynamic. So I mentioned those connection points.
So just because you're on this circuit, you know, at this point doesn't mean you're going
to be on there next year. We may have a configuration change. There may be a new development come
in that's outside of you that we have to rework things. So it doesn't necessarily mean you
stay on the same circuit. But, but generally, I think speaking the hypothetically, if your
power did not go out during this outage, as I noted that every circuit on our system other
than our critical circuits were rotated that that could probably give those those customers
an idea if they're on one of those circuits or not as of today. Okay. And I know you described
for some of the challenges in in rotating those outages and keeping track of which circuits
had been hit and which ones hadn't. Can you tell us anything about the the criteria you
use to make those decisions? We know that that load shed plan is confidential and confidential
for a reason. But can you tell us a little bit about some of the criteria that went into
those decisions? As far as when we rotated or how we rotated the circuits? Sure, you
know, I think there are probably a lot of folks who incorrectly believe you're just
throwing darts at a map, you know, and that's the circuit that goes out next. Can you tell
us just a little bit more detail besides just, you know, we tried not to to cut the critical
circuits. And there were some that we you told us about the doctor's dialysis clinic
that you scheduled. Can you tell us a little bit more about what some of our residential
customers were experiencing? Yes, sir, I can. So what our operators were tasked with doing
is, as I mentioned, we had two blocks. So we had an A and a B. So we initially started
the load shed event, we were when we were in our plan. And at that point, you would
have had those circuits would have had 30 minutes on, and then theoretically 30 minutes
off. Now there was a transition, it takes about 15 minutes for our operators to actually
remove the the the load that is on and replace it with the with the next block. So that was
our criteria is we is to alternate an on cycle with an off cycle for our for our feeders.
And then that was determined. So operators will go with the 100 the 100 megawatt load
shed. So ERCOT calls in and says, we are instructed to shed 100 megawatts of your load. Now you
acknowledge that at that point, whatever your system load is, at that point, you must remove
100 megawatts. So as I mentioned, our feeders tend to have, you know, five megawatts to
eight megawatts on it. So we had to identify as close as we could, the feeders that totaled
100 megawatts, we remove those from the system. So now they're in there, they're in their
outage cycle. And while we were doing that, we had to identify the next grouping of circuits
that totaled 100 megawatts. So at that point, we didn't look at neighborhoods or locations
or anything, the circuits became solely a megawatt value. And it was like, like a puzzle
you had to put together what what you could shed, or which combination of circuits that
were available. So the one that was just had their power off, they're back on, they're
not available now. So then it left, that's the tool that I spoke to that engineering
was able to make for us is, hey, these these available circuits are what I have to choose
from. And let's total up what our load shed requirement is. And then another part of the
struggle was, if we had a circuit, and we take it's five megawatts, and we take that
circuit off, and it's now out of power for an hour, we bring it back on, that five megawatts
is now seven megawatts. So to bring that circuit back on, we had to count it as three, because
when we energize that circuit is actually going to be a higher value. So basically,
and this was a manual process, tried tried to spread out the rotations amongst all the
feeders in a very systematic manner, but basically was driven by the load shed instruction, and
the feeders that were available that totaled that load shed instruction.
Thank you. And I think I might have seen board member DeVinnie's hand just a moment ago.
I have a sort of rookie question that has to do with the target as Councilmember Johnson's
asked. If a large customer like Target can disconnect from the grid, is there a way for
an individual customer to disconnect from the grid if they have rooftop solar? I have
a bunch of friends with rooftop solar whose solar did nothing because the grid was shut
down. Is there a way for people to generate their own electricity if they have, and if
you've got an acre of land, you can also have your own wind turbine. So is there a way for
individuals to generate other than with a diesel generator or something like that?
Well, thank you for the question. It's a very good question. As of now, there is not. So
our rooftop solar customers, the 600 or so we have on our system, they are interconnected
to the grid by an IEEE standard. So that's an electrical trade association that kind
of sets the rules. So the reason that that's in place is for the safety of our linemen.
So if the power is disconnected, those solar panels are interconnected to the grid. And
if they were to produce excess electricity that was not utilized by the resident, that
power would flow through the transformer and would energize the line. So as of now, for
rooftop solar, that is not an option. I have tasked our engineering department to take
a look at that. Is there something out there that could basically, it's called islanding,
could island the solar generation for that resident and only provide power to that resident?
I don't believe that's what you're speaking. Now, we do have quite a few customers on our
grid that have generators that can run in a called a standalone mode where they can
power the house while connected to the grid. So we were looking at that. I was pretty sure
that was going to be a question. But as of now, the interconnection standard for that
is no. And the reason is because those customers have the ability to sell or push that power
back onto the grid by design. Whereas people who have backup generators are not looking
to sell that power, they're looking to power their home during a power outage. That's kind
of the separation in those those two situations. But we are looking into it. Thank you. Chair
Parker. First of all, I think you did a tremendous job with that 59 hours is miserable for all
of us. But could you tell us hypothetically if we did not perform the way we did with
the rolling outages? What could have been the outcome from NERC and ERCOT? The fine,
there's a monetary fine that could be imposed for not following the instructions. I think
I've heard it's capped at a million dollars a day could be the fine that would be imposed
on you by not only NERC, but ERCOT. But there was a, again, there was a moral obligation
for us to comply. So the bigger picture was we had the inconvenience a lot of our customers
with the rotating outage. And you know, you saw that fraction were half a percent. Encore
is 35%. So of that 20,000 megawatts, they had 7000 megawatts. If they would have said
now we're not going to answer the call to ERCOT, we're not going to shed that load,
the grid would have crashed, there would have been a blackout situation. And again, then
all 24 million Texans would have been without power. So there was both the the regulatory
reasons and then it was the right thing to do is to comply with those ERCOT instructions.
Councilmember Armitage. Yeah, to speak to what you just said, I mean, a fine of million
dollars a day would have been a savings for the city if that were the only consequence.
But like you said, it was nowhere part of a network that holds up the whole state of
Texas. So I have two related questions. One about battery storage, and these are forward
looking questions. And another about the National Grid versus ERCOT. If we had had, you know,
city scale battery storage for our generating facility, would that or to what extent, you
know, would that have helped both the city and the grid in a crisis like that? I realize
it would not solve the problem. But I'm wondering kind of how that works when you've got municipal
battery storage, how that works as far as load load shedding demands in a situation
like that. And secondly, you know, as a lot of people are asking, if it's my understanding
that we're we're Texas, you know, or an individual city hooked up to the National Grid, that
this would not have been an issue because of, you know, just as Denton has backup through
the grid, through ERCOT, the National Grid provides an even greater backup system that's
also more heavily regulated. So I was wondering if you could just, you know, you don't have
to go into length of that. I realize that there are a number of factors that would complicate
individual cities getting on the grid. But if you could just confirm that latter point
about the National Grid and, you know, give whatever specifics you can moving forward
about municipal utility scale battery storage. Thanks.
Thank you, Councilmember Armitage. I can speak to your second question a little more confidently
than I can the first one. I believe if there say there was out at the deck facility, we
had some utility scale, which you would be talking megawatt hour battery storage, I believe
that would be considered a generating asset. So those that electricity would be generated
that would be put onto the grid from that batteries would be treated just like it came
from the deck. So it'd be part of that market. So I think it would have would have if you
hadn't theoretically had enough of it, any extra generation that would have been put
on the grid would have been additional load shed that would have not been required. So
if you can think of that at that point. Secondly, personal batteries. So if you would have had
a say you had a battery in your home, that storage, that capacity, that's not the same
thing. So that would have helped with the rotating outages for the individual customers
that had a battery storage at their at their at their residence. So if I think if that
answers the question, I'm going to let Mr. Nolte tackle the your first question. Thank
you.
Yes, thank you. So first of battery storage, just a little bit more on what Chris said,
you know, typically battery storage is a is a short duration resource. And this event
lasted five days. So the longest batteries would be four hours of storage and would have
only provided backup or additional generation, if you will, for about a four hour period.
And I think as you Councilmember armature, recall from the last time we we brought such
a proposal in front of you, the economics of batteries at this point are not they just
aren't cost effective relative to to others. Now maybe this event might change that a little
bit, but we'll have to see with regard to your question about interconnecting to the
other grid. So there are two additional grids that ERCOT could interconnect with. One is
the Western Energy wholesale market, and the other is the the Midwest ISO. It's actually
a third the SPP. In in the event that an individual city wanted to interconnect with one of those,
we would have to physically build a line from our system to that system. And for us, in
Denton, it would the closest would be into Oklahoma somewhere. That process would take
at least 10 years to do because of all of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission regulations
as well as the siting of the line and permitting. You would never want to have a single point
of interconnection. You'd always want to have two. So you'd have to run not just one, but
two lines to two to desperate, disparate points in the grid to interconnect with to have the
level of reliability that you would want to have. And then just wanted to follow up on
your question about the fines. You know, you think about the fines at a million dollars
a day. That million dollars a day would be on top of the adverse economic consequences
that we suffered as a result of the loss of the deck. And the as you'll see the underperformance
of our renewable assets. So to think that we would be able to actually mitigate damages
as a result of paying fines I think is a little far-fetched. And I'd be careful to try to
make sure that the public doesn't believe that that's something from a behavioral perspective
as being a participant in ERCOT and understanding that we as a member of ERCOT have an obligation
to follow the rules because we do get the benefits of the marketplace. And you know,
I would strongly recommend such an approach. And thank you. Just to follow up, I was trying
to make precisely that point maybe sloppily, but my point being I understand it. You know,
I might be thinking that, but that really is not an ethical option or a feasible one.
So I understand. I very well understand that.
Thank you all. Any other questions on kind of the operations side of things? We'll have
a presentation next on the financial side of things, some on the deck, but anything
else on operations, rolling outages, that kind of thing. Okay. The next portion is going
to be pretty involved and have a lot of information and I imagine a robust conversation following.
So we're going to take a short break, about five minutes, and we'll come back at one o'clock
to continue the meeting. Thank you, Mayor Pro Tem.
Welcome back, everyone. Good afternoon. This is a joint meeting of the Denton City Council
and Public Utilities Board. We're going to hear next from Terry Nalty from DME, and he's
going to cover the topics of energy management, the Dent Energy Center, mitigation measures,
and ERCOP market reforms. We're going to have opportunity for questions at the break, and
I believe Mayor Hutsbeth will be joining us as we go through this presentation. So it'll
be his face you see next. And Terry, it's to you.
Thank you, Mayor Pro Tem, and good afternoon, Chair Parker, members of the PUB, and members
of council. I'm going to ask your indulgence today as I am actually going to read through
a script that I've put together for these slides because I want to make sure that I'm
covering all the information and not missing anything. So with that, I'm going to pull
up the presentation. Okay. Winter Storm Uri, which was the name
of the named storm that impacted ERCOT and the Texas markets several weeks ago, was an
unprecedented record storm that has brought to light the magnitude of the risks that all
electric generation and load serving entities face. The intensity and duration of the storm
coupled with market design flaws, lack of regulatory intervention, unprecedented demand
for natural gas resulted in rolling outages, loss of life, billions in property damages,
and as I will report here, significant unexpected power supply expenses that will ultimately
have impacts to our customer owners. This presentation will briefly put Uri in perspective
relative to other storm events to show you how abnormal the weather event was. I'll then
provide you with the measures that DME had in place to manage the power supply price
risk and provide you with our current estimate of the financial impacts. I'll then discuss
the evaluations that are underway to mitigate the financial impacts of future storm events,
discuss some high level ERCOT reforms that we believe are needed and finally answer questions
that you may have. While this discussion will look prospectively at ways to implement measures
to prevent future economic risks, I want to be clear that despite the measures that DME
will recommend today and in the future, without significant market reforms, the potential
for rotating outages across all of ERCOT will remain. Initial efforts that the electric
and gas industry are taking are aimed at providing earlier warning of potential events that could
result in outages due to lack of electric supply and to identify where better coordination
between the electric and natural gas industries have the potential to lessen the probability
and duration of a recurrence. Typically, the third week in February has a temperature range
of 37 to 60 degrees in Denton. The three days from February 14 to February 16 were the coldest
three consecutive days in recorded history. From an electric demand perspective, the eight
days from the 13th to the 21st saw 42% more electric demand in Denton than average and
had the rolling outages not occurred, demand would have been 70% higher than normal. Needless
to say, our forecasting tools failed to predict these high demands as the storm predictions
became stronger on Friday the 12th. We took additional price protection actions on that
day. For the ERCOT market, the financial impacts
were nothing short of a disaster. In eight days, the cost of energy and ancillary services
exceeded the prior 11 years combined. And as you have heard and will see later on, DME
was significantly impacted by the sustained maximum wholesale energy price of $9,000 per
megawatt hour. I think it's safe to say that no one envisioned wholesale electric market
prices at the max cap for as long as it did. And these events have transformed our view
as well as that of the rest of the market participants. The key conclusions I draw from
what happened in the ERCOT wholesale market are that, first, the ERCOT generation portfolio
is fragile with overreliance on intermittent renewable resources that during the last two
price excursions have not shown up. Secondly, the market design is fundamentally flawed
without sufficient economic incentives to attract dispatchable generation and reserve
capacity despite the $9,000 price cap. In fact, historical market price formation has
resulted in retirements of baseload capacity that could have provided the needed reserves
to have saved many lives and the economic devastation. That said, this is not a phenomena
that is unique to ERCOT. Third, price volatility is likely to increase if continued development
of intermittent resources with no ability for these resources to operate when they are
needed most. We have all heard legislators and uninformed
individuals make claims that DME was unhedged and that DME did not have the ability to participate
in the futures markets. I can categorically state that those claims are untrue. As you
know, DME has an energy risk management policy that is brought before the PUB and council
each year for approval. That policy provides the necessary authority for the city manager,
the DME general manager, and DME staff to execute hedge transactions consistent with
the policy. Further, within the policy is a hedge plan that is updated each year based
upon market conditions. The objective of the hedge plan implemented through the authority
you grant us under the energy risk management policy is to control the cost of purchase
power within a range for budget and rate certainty purposes. The hedge plan is premised upon
weather normalized load forecast, renewable energy outputs, and futures prices for electric
and natural gas. While there is a band around the weather normalized forecast, in no way
does it permit DME to speculate on weather events that are outside a reasonable level
of a probability of occurrence. URI was well outside those limits. Going into the storm,
DME was in compliance with the limits of the energy risk management plan and the hedge
plan. Compliance with this hedge plan is measured and reported by DME's risk management group
who act as an independent auditor of the performance of DME's energy management organization.
The hedge plan is based upon monthly granularity, and inside the month, the energy management
office organization has the ability to optimize hedges to adjust them for real-time market
and weather conditions. In the case of URI, additional financial hedges were placed on
Thursday and Friday prior to the storm. The additional hedging actions performed as designed
and contributed to over $23 million in positive value. Normally, the weather or wind forecasts
change rapidly. Normally, the weather or wind forecasts change rapidly. The EMO has the
ability to take price additional hedging actions on -- normally would have the ability to take
price hedging actions during the storm. But in this particular case, on the 15th of February
was a bank holiday. The natural gas and electric markets were not open, and trades on Thursday
of the prior week were for four days, Saturday through Tuesday. By the time Tuesday arrived,
the market was trading at the maximum cap for the rest of the week, and no additional
risk management trades were available. According to the risk management plan that DME uses
is the Denton Energy Center as a hedge to the intermittency of our renewables. This asset
acts as a hedge against high prices by starting up in five minutes and offsetting the cost
of energy purchase for load. As you will see, wind and solar resources, which are also hedges
to our short load position, did not perform. Thus, as designed, we relied upon the deck
to cover the shortfall of energy not generated by the renewables. As we have entered into
more solar power purchase agreements, and given the high wind output that is expected
at night from our wind power purchase agreements, when there is no wind at night, we count on
the deck to provide the hedge. As you know, we lost natural gas pressure, and consequently
our deck hedged for almost two days, and thus we were buying at the maximum cap of $9,000
per megawatt hour. At the same time, our load was the highest at night.
A quick review of the current DME power supply portfolio is presented here. The important
point to understand is that our supply position is 610 megawatts, and our normal season demand
position in February is 170 megawatts. While this may seem like way too much surplus, when
the renewable power purchase agreements are adjusted for the weather and normalized output,
the predictable capacity is significantly lower. Also on this slide is the actual demand versus
the normal demand for this time of year. As you can see, the demand was 140% of the normal
levels. Now, this is a complicated chart, but it tells the story in one picture, and
I'm going to walk through it with you quickly. I'm sorry, this is not the complicated one.
This is actually a pretty easy one. So slide six here for me. Here we see the normal load
profile on a February day in blue, and now we superimpose the actual load that showed
up. And you can see it was significantly higher than normal, especially the first two days.
That would be Saturday and Sunday. Monday is where you see the load reductions or the
rolling outages took place right here. Finally, we look at the demand, what it would have
been had the load shedding event not taken place. Here you see that the peak demand would
have been 400 megawatts, which would have been an all-time new peak for DME. And this
will change our plans for our overall energy supply as we go forward.
So I have alluded to the lack of intermittent and renewable energy generation throughout
the event. This slide shows you the variability in the forecast of wind. And in the aircraft
market, the wind is very important, and it's a very low-cost resource. When it doesn't
show up, it usually means we're going to have shortages.
So the chart shows the predictions of the market from the Thursday the 11th to the end
of the event on Friday. And I'm going to click through the on-peak and off-peak forecast.
We divide the market into the on-peak, which is the daylight hours, through 11 p.m., and
then the off-peak, which is 11 p.m. to 7 a.m. So here you see the low end of the off-peak
output. And this blue line represents the off-peak high estimate that came in from ERCOT.
So it would be above 10,000 megawatts of wind that would have showed up Thursday through
Monday with Tuesday, Wednesday having lower levels.
Here's where the actual wind low-level prediction was the day before each of the days during
the period. So it started out with the solid blue line. What we ended up with the day of
delivery or the day before delivery was this dotted blue line, very large deviation in
wind output. Here we see the same thing for the on-peak period where we had on-peak predicting
to be peaking out on Sunday, but what in actuality the revised forecast as we got into the day
of delivery, it was significantly lower, representing 7,000 to 9,000 megawatts in the marketplace
of wind energy that just didn't perform. And these bars show you the difference or the
amount of error that we saw in the forecast. Wind forecasting is an art more than a science.
I mean, it is a science, but it has a lot of art in it. And we spend a lot of time trying
to predict what the wind's going to do because that tells us how much the deck is going to
run and what the costs are going to be for the day. So we spend a lot of time looking
at this. These are very large deviations, these orange and gold bars, very large deviations
that we saw. Now we come to the complicated slide. So this slide provides the overall
DME position from Friday the 12th through Friday the 19th. We start with this horizontal
dotted line that represents a balanced supply with demand. Next, we push in the price during
the period. The blue line is the price starting down here, going up to $1,000, peaking up
here quite a bit higher, and then recovering and going into Sunday and Monday, $9,000.
We had some deviations. There was a market algorithm problem here that was corrected
by the PUCT, and then the price rocketed up to $9,000 and stayed at $9,000 for the remainder
of the duration of the storm. Now here we see DME's position. The green line represents
our physical position that we had during the storm. And as you can see, the green line
is above the dotted orange line for the beginning of the period, all the way until we get into
these deviations here where we lost gas to the Denton Energy Center. Any time the green
line is above the dotted orange line, that means we have surplus. Any time it's below,
that means we're in a deficit. We're buying at $9,000. Now here we see the dotted line,
which shows what would have happened had the deck continued to operate. And you can see
that we would have been in a long position or in a surplus position for the entire duration
of the event. And now I want to superimpose when the – this is when the load shedding
started at 1.20 in the morning. Here is when the gas pressure dropped for the deck. Here
is when the deck tripped offline. And you can see that green – solid green line goes
straight down. Here is when we got gas back to the deck. And it took us a full 24 hours
before we were able to bring the deck back online at a reduced level because of the freeze
of the radiators, which I'll talk about in just a moment. And the end of the load shedding
event took place at 9 a.m. on Friday. Here we see the performance of each of the supply
assets in our portfolio during the event. And I just want to point out that the percent
of expected output demonstrates that during the event, wind energy is a – was practically
non-existent. And solar output was just over 50 percent of the expected. And recall from
a prior slide, when I say 50 percent of the expected, that's 50 percent of a number that's
significantly less than the installed capacity of each of these resources. So it's a weather-normalized
output where we predict a probabilistic output for each hour of each day. And these metrics
are based upon, for a typical February, what the output would have been. So when you see
a 3.25 percent of wind, that's 3.25 percent of a number that's significantly lower than
150 megawatts, which is what the wind resources is capable of.
The revenue numbers here are provided to contrast what the expected output versus the actual
output meant from a financial perspective. And as you can see, 180 million dollars of
difference. Finally, this slide shows the estimated cost of the event to Denton. These
are estimates as we are still finalizing invoice. And as you know, there are two major potential
adjustments that will need to be made, depending upon whether or not ERCOT resettles the last
32 hours and depending upon the outcome of our lawsuit against ERCOT. Let's go through
the numbers quickly. Over the event, DME paid ERCOT 209 million dollars. After paying for
energy to service the demand, ancillary services, and other load-related charges, ERCOT paid
DME 73.6 million for the energy that we injected into the system.
We started the week with a cash balance at ERCOT of 4.8 million in collateral. We paid
22.5 million dollars for natural gas. We gained 23.2 million from hedging activities. Our
fixed price payment for power purchase agreements was 783,000. And we had a one-time PPA credit
of 940,000 dollars. The net cost of the week to DME was 140 million, which was sourced
from our DME reserves of just above 100 million and commercial paper debt. Finance will discuss
the current plan for reestablishing a reserve for DME, and we'll be providing a recommendation
on rate impacts as part of the budget discussions for next fiscal year in the coming months.
I've also provided two other scenarios for comparison. A normal February weather week,
which would have cost DME approximately 1.2 million dollars, and a nominal supply performance
scenario to show what the potential outcome would have been had our supply resources been
able to supply their forecasted output. And as you can see, that outcome would have been
much better for DME. As I indicated, we'd experienced a significant
level of freeze damage at the deck when the units lost natural gas supply. The plant was
designed to withstand ambient temperatures down to 19 degrees without freeze-up. Temperatures
on Monday and Tuesday were sub-zero, and without heat from the engines in the coolant, our
radiators froze up. On the left, you see the radiator banks, which are extensive. On the
right, you see the radiator coolant pipe freeze damage. We have completed temporary repairs
on the radiators on Saturday the 20th, and the plant is now back to full capacity. However,
we've not determined whether these repairs are sufficient to withstand high output conditions
for a long period of time, and we are working on price estimates to retube the radiators
or replace them. The damages have initiated a claim with our insurance carriers, and we
are in discussions with their engineers about the long-term fix. With regard to business
interruption insurance, I'm disappointed to inform you that the coverage will provide
no benefit for the event, since the policy has a 90-day waiting period before the coverage
check -- the coverage kicks in. We are still evaluating whether future potential
losses due to damage of the radiators from the storm would be eligible for the claim.
A few challenges that were identified during the storm that we addressed are shown here.
As we all know now, cell towers that lost electric supply resulted in diminished cell
phone coverage, and landlines were impacted as well. DME is evaluating ways to avoid these
potential issues in the future. The major equipment problems identified include freeze-up
of the vent system in our air compressor rooms, cooling system transmitters that froze up,
and the inability to drain liquid from the cooling systems rapidly, which may have avoided
some of the freezing damage. Obviously, our cooling systems will need to
be weatherized and hardened as we are evaluating options.
It goes without saying that we must never let this happen again, and we're aggressively
looking at ways to mitigate our future financial and physical performance risk. Loss of fuel
is the largest financial impact, and the options under consideration include adding backup
fuel, either propane or LNG. The engines would require a modification for propane, and the
air permit would also likely have to be modified. Both backup fuel options will be very expensive.
There is a second pipeline on the deck property, and we are investigating the costs and benefits
associated with a second pipe connection. Our current gas supply contract is a non-firm
contract. Firming of gas supplies involves the purchase of firm gas transport and storage
of natural gas. This option would increase the annual fixed costs of the deck in a significant
manner. Not on the list is the potential to put a booster compressor on the existing pipeline
as the supplier believes there is adequate gas supply, just that high demand did not
enable them to meet the inlet pressure requirements of the deck. As you saw on the prior slide,
the best performing asset was our whitetail contract. It's a structured transaction that
provides a guaranteed hourly volume of energy at a fixed price from a renewable asset. The
energy management organization will begin analysis and seek proposals to swap some or
all of our intermittent renewable positions for financially settled fixed shapes at fixed
prices. Obviously, this will increase our PPA costs as we will need to pay to have another
party take on these risks. We currently purchase outage insurance for the deck in the summer
months to provide a level of financial protection. We will evaluate adding winter coverage to
that policy for next year. As we discussed, our current hedge plan dictates the hedging
actions we must take. In consultation with the risk management committee, the EMO will
evaluate and provide recommendations on changes to the hedge targets for the winter season.
Poverty of our renewable resources is something that can't be avoided. During the last two
$9,000 per megawatt hour periods, our wind PPAs have delivered no energy. We will evaluate
ways to back up these resources with spinning reserves from available market resources and
will adjust our renewable portfolio accordingly to achieve the 100% renewable energy mandate
under the Denton renewable resource plan. There's a lot of discussion in Austin about
winterizing gas and power assets. We have already provided a discussion about these
efforts at the deck, but we'll explore options with Santa Rita, our wind resource, and Whitetail.
As part of our hedge plan revisions, we will evaluate how to diversify our risk away from
the deck. This could involve swapping capacity with other gas-fired resources or putting
in place financial transactions that are independent of actual deck performance. One inexpensive
option we are considering is adding additional weather forecasting capabilities to the EMO.
While we subscribe to services, it may be prudent to add a meteorologist to staff to
develop longer range outlooks and to run Denton specific variations so that the EMO can take
additional hedging positions prior to weather events to provide needed financial protections.
All of these options will cost money, and we'll be back in front of both the PUB and
the council to discuss and seek guidance and approval. Early in this presentation, I mentioned
that the ERCOT market reforms are needed. Clearly, this is not a well-functioning market.
When prices inside of 24 hours have ranged from $9,000 to negative $7 per megawatt and
major market participants are going bankrupt, the key items that I believe need to be addressed
are first, the market must recognize and account for large numbers of intermittent resources
that are now counted on to meet peak demands. Out of a peak demand of 74 gigawatts, over
48% of the energy could come from renewables in ERCOT. While this certainly is meeting
environmental policy objectives for Texas and has delivered low-cost energy, these resources
are not dependable at peak demand times. Secondly, the uplift of defaulting parties' financial
obligations to the remaining market participants is not sustainable and leverages the strong
credit ratings and balance sheets of MOUs and co-ops to the benefit of the unregulated
market participants. As we have claimed, this also violates the state constitution. Runaway
prices, the third item is runaway prices for protracted periods of time, must be stopped
and the imposition of some type of circuit breaker into the market to protect ratepayers
and market participants is needed. Fourth, because Texas relies almost exclusively on
natural gas to back up the intermittency of renewables and to provide spending reserves,
better coordination between electric and gas industries is needed to avoid a loss of life
and property damages in the event of additional load shed events. Before we get to questions,
I wanted to briefly discuss what we expect from the legislature and ERCOT and the PCT.
ERCOT has issued an order to resettle certain ancillary costs during the EEA event, during
the load shed event. This is a generating unit by generating unit exercise that will
take some time. I expect this to result in a reduction to one of the components that
cost us so much money and that's a $49 million cost for ancillary services that we incurred
during the period. But I can't provide any estimates at this time. Senate Bill 2142 requires
the resettlement of the last 32 hours of the load shed period. The bill was passed by the
Senate, is supported by the Lieutenant Governor and has been referred to committee in the
House. While it may seem just from a layman's perspective, it is extremely complicated to
think about resettling this period. International markets have already settled trades based
upon the cleared prices. For DME, the resettlement could cost us up to an additional $17 million
on top of the cost I have already reported. We have filed comments with the Public Utility
Commission of Texas indicating that we are opposed to such a resettlement. Council has
heard from legal counsel on the merits of our case against ERCOT. At this point, it
is impossible to predict the magnitude of the uplift because market participants' short
pays and defaults are still occurring without remedy. Two large cooperatives that have declared
bankruptcy need to be settled before a reasonable estimate can be established. A number of bills
have been introduced and scheduled for hearing this week that are aimed at requiring integration
of the natural gas and electric regulatory bodies. It is likely that something makes
it out of the legislature. We will continue to monitor these develops and keep both of
these bodies informed. With that, Mayor Pro Tem or Mayor if you are here and Chair Parker,
I will stop sharing and answer questions. >> Okay. Thank you, Terry. Thank you, Mayor
Pro Tem. I appreciate your assistance with that. We will take questions. Let's go Commissioner
Bill Cheek and then Councilmember Meltzer and who else did I see? We will go Commissioner
Susan Parker and then we will get Councilmember Armitage. Okay. Mr. Cheek.
>> Thank you, Mayor. Question for Terry. I wanted to ask you to expand a little bit more
on the natural gas or lack thereof. Question of why exactly was gas cut off to the plant
and what were we paying over the normal timely prices at that peak time for natural gas once
it turned back on? >> Yes. So the Denton Energy Center tripped
on a low pressure from the gas pipeline. I don't remember the specific time but it was
Tuesday morning. In discussions with the pipeline provider or the gas provider, they are still
at a loss as to why pressure was low. It is a new section of pipe that has been built
and they believe that the pressure should have been sufficient. However, we do have
the data to support that the units could not be started back up because of low pressure.
During that time, we were paying just absolutely outrageous prices. Normally gas this time
of year would be trading prior to the event was trading right around $3 a million BTU.
We paid as high as $700 a million BTU during the event.
>> Is there any chance that we had curtailment from the gas company instead of -- and that's
the -- excuse me. That's the reason for the low pressure.
>> We have not been able to verify that we were curtailed in our discussions with the
gas pipeline company. They have claimed that there was no curtailment. They believe that
it was just the demand on the gas system from all the home heating and other electrical
demand that the system just couldn't keep up with the demand. That's why the pressure
dropped. And I should also point out that obviously with the rolling outages, this phenomena
was experienced by dozens of plants around the Aricot market.
>> Okay. All right. And then so we have Councilmember Meltzer, Commissioner Parker, Armature, and
then Mr. -- and forgive me if I say this wrong, Rybak, I see you there. So after, Commissioner,
after Councilmember Armature. So Councilmember Meltzer.
>> Thank you. Terri, I'd just like to sort of unpack the dynamics of what happened, you
know, a little further. So our contracted resources weren't performing, so we had to
-- and the DEC had that interruption, so we had to go to the market without a hedge. And
the prices were super high. Now, the prices were super high. Why? Was it because the other
power providers in the grid were paying super high prices for natural gas?
>> Yeah. So the price is actually derived from an equation that is run by Aricot every
five minutes based on the relationship of supply and demand. And when there's not enough
supply to meet demand, certain scarcity price adders are added to the equation.
>> But it's the essence of the equation that a greater incentive would be needed to get
providers to produce, and does the price need to be higher because they were facing high
natural gas prices? You follow me? Why do they need --
>> I do, yes. And so in the summer, for example, in the summer of 2019 where we saw $9,000
prices, gas prices were at normal levels. Yet we saw $9,000 prices because supply did
not meet the demand. And any time that supply is less than demand or is close to a level
that could cause these types of rolling outages, the Aricot algorithm produces a price that's
$9,000 or a high price. It could be less than 9,000, maybe 1,000. And it's a function of
that relationship between the supply and the demand and how much reserve capacity remains
online for that 5-minute period. >> So it's staying high for an extended period
of time, and the algorithm is saying no -- well, two things. Demand is still high, and supply
is not coming on, right? Was that more or less what you mean? And why wasn't supply
coming on? >> Supply was not coming on because it wasn't
physically capable of producing. Either it had no fuel or it had no wind or there was
no sun, and therefore it couldn't keep up with a all-time record peak demand.
>> And I, you know, I want to quickly point out it wasn't just -- it wasn't just renewable
resources that were down. >> It was everything, correct, yep.
>> Who benefited from the price being that high for that long? Who backed up the Brinks
truck to the hall? >> I wish I knew the answer to that question.
I don't know the answer to that question. I think that will be something that the PUCT,
the legislature, and even FERC, once the investigations are over, will know the answer to that question.
We do know that some speculators made big money, and that would be speculation by trading
companies, by hedge funds that, you know, are in the business of taking on risk for
profit. And through the financial markets, they made bets that prices would be high.
They didn't know they were going to be this high for as long as they were, but they made
bets that prices would be high, and it paid off for them.
>> Okay. >> Mike, can I --
>> Yes. >> Another thought. This is all taking place
during a declared disaster, so I imagine that's the foundation for a price gouging investigation,
right? You can't charge, you know, $100 a gallon for gas when people are fleeing a tornado
or something like that. Is there -- as far as the legislative environment,
is there any appetite at all, because we don't know where the windfall profits went, but
is there -- given that it was during a disaster, declared disaster, not just in the last 32
hours, it was declared on the 12th and I believe renewed on the 15th or 17th, is there any
appetite at all for any kind of a clawback of windfall profits wherever they fell?
>> My understanding, Councilmember Meltzer, is that if there were going to be an investigation
on price gouging, that would have to be initiated by the Attorney General's office. And I'm not
aware that that investigation has begun. I know there are requests for information that
have come from the Attorney General to various market participants.
>> All right. I'll pause. >> All right. And then, Commissioner Parker.
>> Yes. I've been getting several questions, because everybody knows I moved here from
the frozen tundra of Minnesota, that the wind -- was it a lack of wind or was it that the
turbines weren't working, and what can we do to ensure that winterization is better?
Another question I have is our deck, the utility I came from has the exact same engines, and
it gets cold in Minnesota and they don't fail. So can you explain what the differences are?
I believe it's that we design them differently. You design for heat here, redesign for cold
there. And then, I think you already covered it, but if you could talk about it one more
time, is how much did we lose because the gas pressure wasn't there and we tripped off,
how much money did we not get to sell into the market that could have maybe made this
as less devastating as it is? Was that way too many all at once?
>> No, I think I got them. Hopefully I can -- so the answer to your question on wind
is a combination of both. As we went into the -- on Thursday and Friday, we were predicting
low wind output for the weekend and even into Monday relative to what normal wind levels
would have been. So 9, 10,000 megawatts of wind relative to what we would normally see,
which would be significantly double that, triple that number. What happened was as the
precipitation came in and much like when you get on a plane in a snow storm or before you
pull away from the gate, shortly after you pull it, they de-ice the wings on the plane
to keep them from freezing up. Same phenomena here. Ice got on the blades and the blades
were then no longer safe to operate. And so that's what happened in the case of Santa
Rita. They physically could not operate because there was frozen ice on the blades. So that
was a phenomena that was seen across the marketplace. We are looking at what is done in the northern
climes where we see that. My understanding though is that in Minnesota, Iowa, those places,
that type of precipitation is not common. And so normally it would be snow, which doesn't
freeze on the blade, whereas freezing rain would and that's what we had. And so the cost
to install heaters, for example, on those blades is prohibitive and is not normally
done. For the deck, you are correct. We designed the deck, as I mentioned, for a 19 degree
minimum temperature. That's a decision that was made back during the design phase for
the deck. It could have been designed to go down to zero or sub-zero. The output would
be adversely affected because as you add more glycol to the coolant systems, you get less
heat transfer and that would reduce the output. What was a 225 megawatt output would probably
drop down below 200 if we had glycol concentrations that were sufficient to keep us below zero.
As far as the amount of money that the deck not being able to run, it's a significant
number. I can get back to you with a specific number. I think of it in terms of gross margin.
The amount of money would have made above operating costs because we were paying very
high costs for gas at that time. And that number was probably north of $50 million.
Thank you. Councilmember Armitage. I have two questions. I'll ask the bigger one first.
Given the high and variable price of gas and our limited, in fact, the nonexistence of
any kind of control that we have over the price of gas, together with the cost of the
maintenance and operation of the Denton Energy Center in relation to its revenue leading
up to and, of course, including the recent snowpocalypse event, and also given our limited
ability, in fact, in capacity to regulate weatherization of renewable resources for
those entities that we contract with. We can't tell them now you have to go winterize your
wind generation facilities if they're not our facilities. So given all of those factors
that I know you're so well aware of, why are we not considering or I should say are we
considering investing in weatherized renewable generation sources as well as battery storage
but especially the weatherized renewable generation sources which are not dependent on fossil
fuel to run and would presumably, you know, would satisfy that, you know, at the proper
scale that generation requirement of ERCOT to be hooked up to the grid. Just wondering
if you could speak to that, why we're not looking there. Sure. That's a good question
and I think the answer is pretty simple. We have looked at other sources of renewable
energy in different regions of Texas in order to get some regional diversity. The wind farms
in south Texas and along the coast did fairly well during this episode. As you may remember,
Councilmember Arminter, we had evaluated coastal wind last year and we found that it did not
compete well from a financial perspective with other sources of renewable energy that
we were evaluating pursuant to an RFP. We may now have to go back and relook at the
way we evaluate those bids to see if perhaps there is an allowance for the fact that these
performed well but I will tell you that the sellers, the owners of those will also re-evaluate
the value that they bring to the market and so their offer prices are probably going to
be significantly higher. But I think the one point that everyone needs to keep in mind
is that regardless of the renewable resource that we contract with, what history has shown
us in the last two years is that at times of critical need, they don't show up because
they are by nature intermittent and they can only produce during times when the wind is
blowing and the sun is shining. And no matter what we do, we have to have a provision to
back up that intermittency and that's what the DEC is intended to do.
So I would like to just respond to that and then ask my second question. Of course, I
understand that renewable energy is intermittent but it's also my understanding that when the
city invested in enterprise consulting to help balance our renewable portfolio, they
explained how a balanced renewable portfolio that includes coastal wind and that was the
key for coastal wind for them. It costs a little bit more and I see what you're saying.
It makes sense that the price would go up now that people are seeing or understanding
more of the value of coastal wind and there will probably be more of a demand for it.
But coastal wind as part of a balanced portfolio together with the backup that a grid is at
least supposed to provide covers that limitation of the intermittent nature of those renewable
resources. Gas as we found out is also intermittent, dependent on pricing and availability also
being a finite limited resource. So that's just kind of my two cents on the matter but
I'm glad that we will be going back and relooking at how we evaluate the fiscal responsibility
of investing in coastal wind because I continue to believe that even though it costs more,
it is a good investment for part of our backup plan. So my next question, which is a simpler
one or at least a smaller one, is related to Commissioner Parker's question about winterization
of wind. I'm not going to repeat her question because you answered it, but I'm wondering
if you could speak about what you mentioned about the consideration of possibly hiring
an in-house meteorologist to consider weather issues and to what extent we know the weatherization
of those wind contracts that we contract with. In other words, I would imagine that a meteorologist
would think okay because of the weather and because we have these contracts with these
wind facilities that wind generation facilities that are not properly weatherized is going
to affect us in this that way. Are those contractors transparent with maybe not with the public
but at least with the cities they contract with about their weatherization and to what
extent would a meteorologist be able to help us better prepare for that?
So the concept of bringing in a meteorologist on board to help us to better predict weather
is really focused on taking real-time actions to hedge price risk based upon those weather
forecasts. And I would not tie it to the physical assets themselves, the renewable assets. Under
our power purchase agreements, our suppliers are not obligated to provide us a quantity
of energy over any particular period of time. It's a take and pay contract. So we pay for
the energy as it's delivered. And so if we were to insert contract provisions that said
you must be able to perform at this level during these periods of time, that would change
the economics and the risk profile for that particular generator. And we would have to
renegotiate those contracts almost entirely. So while I understand what you're saying,
I just want to make sure you're clear. I'm clear that the concept of bringing somebody
on board as a meteorologist would be more to increase what we were able to do, which
was to put hedges in place that achieved $23 million of value. We would do more of that
proactive hedging in real-time in order to recognize the risks that we face with the
intermittency of our renewables. And as you point out, the potential for a gas interruption.
Thank you. Thank you for that. That makes me think of a third question. I know Mayor
Pro Tem mentioned, you know, in the previous segment, we could each ask third question,
three questions. I don't know if I can ask that now. You know, Mayor Hutsbeth or should
I wait till... Yes, no. Go right ahead. Okay. Thank you. This is, you know, when you were
talking about contracts, it made me think and, you know, please let me know if this
would be a better question for a later segment of the presentation. But it seems apt to me
right now. Has his staff investigated our contracts with Wartsilla, the gas plant manufacturer,
and also Burns McDonald, the contractor who helped set it up? I know this was before you
got here, you know, that those contracts were established. But to see if there's anything
in those contracts that could have possibly misrepresented, you know, the preparedness
of the DEC, you know, for such an event. I'm not saying there is. I'm just curious. I thought
now might be a good time to ask. We've accepted the facility and the warranty
periods are over for the DEC and for the equipment there. So I would not suggest that there be
an opportunity to do what you're suggesting. Okay. And so that takes us to... And Lee,
help me enunciate your last name right. You are correct. Right back. Okay. Thank you,
sir. No, thank you. I appreciate it. Terry, I've got a real nerdy engineering question
for you. When you were talking about the problems with the DEC, the one thing that caught my
attention was a cooling system transmitter scaling. So I'm curious if you could clarify
that. And secondarily, you talked about some heat exchanger mitigation to overcome the
very cold temperatures and the, obviously the heat exchanger is full of water. So what
are those strategies? And could you just expound on that a little bit?
Sure. The transmitter scaling issue was really freezing up of the transmitters and the ice
that was forming inside of the transmitters themselves or the sensors, the sensing probes
for temperature. We couldn't get an accurate temperature reading on the liquid that was
in the radiator systems. The mitigation, as we think about the long-term fix for the damage
that was caused, there are two options really. One is to replace the end tubes. So these
are cooling systems where there's a manifold where the heated fluid comes in, passes all
the way through the heat exchanger and comes back. And at each end, there's a tube, a 90
degree, 180 degree tube that bends around to return the liquid. That's where we saw
the bulk of the damage. And so the mitigation might be to be able to go in and just replace
those end tubes rather than the radiators themselves. We do not believe that there's
damage to the long runs that run through the radiator fins themselves.
All right. Through the coil tubes themselves. Yeah. Okay. Has any thought been given to
providing some kind of heat source at the base of the heat exchanger in an emergency
event like this, of course? Yes, sir. That's what we're considering
is we'll be doing an analysis, engineering analysis of whether adding heat or adding
additional glycol concentrations or having the ability to evacuate that liquid very quickly
in the event that it drops below design temperatures. And we'll do a net present value analysis
to bring it back to you and give you our recommendation on the path to proceed.
Oh, thank you very much. I appreciate it. Mr. Mayor and Madam Chairman, I'm going to
step away for a few minutes. I beg your indulgence, but I shall return.
Thank you. Mayor Pro Tem Davis, then Commissioner Soff and then Ben, did I see your hand? Okay.
Yeah. And then Ben, thank you. Thank you, Mayor Terry. My first questions are about
the legislature. First on the resettlement bill, we know that the Senate passed their
bill that's now over to the House to do. The House is going to kind of take a longer look
at it, I think, than the Senate probably did. And you already said that it's hard to say
exactly how people are going to benefit or exactly what Denton's going to have to give
up if we resettle those 32 hours. But can you break down for us why those 32 hours are
the time period that's being looked at for resettlement, and in a general sense, who
would benefit? We know the municipal operators like Denton stand to lose in a resettlement.
Who stands to benefit in a general sense if that market is resettled?
That's a great question. So the bill has been referred to state affairs. We understand that
state affairs will take their time to gather additional information before they hear the
bill and before they take a vote on it. So the reason why the 32 hours is under consideration
is that beginning at that 32nd hour before the end of the event, there was adequate reserve
capacity in the market where ERCOT could have started to bring load back on. ERCOT chose
at that point to keep the prices at $9,000 to send a signal to the marketplace for load
not to come back into the market. So if you think about a large industrial customer that
say has three, 400 megawatts of load in a single location, were they to come back on
all of a sudden and absorb whatever that reserve capacity was in the market and then another
generating unit would have tripped off, they would have been back into rolling outages
again. And so ERCOT decided that they would not release the $9,000 until such time as
they had adequate reserve capacity online to assure that when that load came back on,
there would be sufficient resources with adequate reserves to meet the demand. And that's been
referred to by the Lieutenant Governor as a mistake. You know, it's been referred to
by ERCOT as the way the market works. And so there's a big debate about whether that
should happen or not. I hope that answers your question. The winners and losers. I'm
sorry. So the winners on that would be the folks that were buying energy from the market
at $9,000, their bill would be lowered. In our case, we had brought the deck back online.
We were running at minimums because all the energy that we could produce was not needed.
There wasn't sufficient demand in the marketplace for us to run them up to full output. And
so we were being paid a standby charge or a reserve charge for the difference between
the level that we were putting out and the maximum that they could achieve at that time.
And it's that difference where we were being paid $9,000 for energy that we actually were
not generating. We're sitting there as a reserve unit as were other units in the market. Those
are the people that would be the losers. Okay. And I guess, can you, is it possible to break
that down further from, we know the folks who are buying power off the market, did that,
does that mean are those mostly municipal operators? Are they mostly privately held companies
or is it just everybody at that time? Yeah. So I should clarify that just to be clear.
Everybody buys from the market. So everybody's buying the $9,000 price at the time. The question
is, what are you injecting to offset that $9,000 price that you're paying? So if you
had no generation, you weren't inputting anything into the market to offset that expense, you
would be a winner in a resettlement. If you had generation that you were injecting back
into the market, you would be a loser in that resettlement. Okay. And we kind of talked
briefly about ERCOT reforms that are in the legislature. The speaker proposed a package
of bills that kind of address things generally. He's got one proposal that includes changing
the governance of ERCOT just a little bit, putting some consumer representatives on there,
that kind of stuff. But are there any serious efforts in Austin to restructure ERCOT, not
just change the board up, but to restructure ERCOT, what it does and how it does business?
As you're probably aware, Mayor Pro Tem, we do employ a lobbyist firm to help us with
our work in Austin. And I think their perspective is that because this is so complicated and
because the market is, to change the market design to the extent it probably needs to
be changed is such an undertaking, it's not likely that there's enough time in the regular
session to make those kind of wholesale changes. And so what we were hearing is that they'll
go through the remainder of the session in a fact-gathering manner, and then it could
be a special session in which we'd see the kind of changes that I think you're alluding
to. Okay. And last question, if I could, Mayor. Yes, sir. So I'm trying to kind of bring everything
you're telling us about our financial picture, our generation picture, the wind resources
that performed in a disappointing way, the situation at the deck that didn't energy center
with the gas supply. And I keep going back to your graph, your slide that had the dotted
line of our position or our breakeven position, and then the green line that showed our position
over time. And I mean, tell me if I'm wrong here, but it looks like up until the moment
that that low pressure tripped in the gas line and we lost gas at the deck, up until
that moment, we were in a very good financial position. We were in a very good generation
position. We're all suffering through the rolling blackouts that, or rolling outages
that ERCOT was prescribing us to do. But up until that moment, the city of Denton and
DME financially was doing everything exactly as we should. I think that's an accurate
statement. I would point out that during those first two days, Saturday and Sunday, demands
were significantly higher than what we had expected. And so we were buying energy from
the market at the then spot market price. It wasn't 9,000, but it was a thousand to
$2,000, $3,000 at times. So no matter what we are, the way that our generation portfolio
had performed, the fact was we were having to meet 40% more demand than we had planned
on. And so as I mentioned, we did take some action on Thursday and Friday and putting
hedge transactions in, recognizing that the demand would be higher. And those actions
paid off. We did realize gains on those transactions. So we would have been okay. I'm not saying
that we would have came out making money, but we would have certainly been well within
the reserves that we have set aside for these types of events. Thanks. Okay. Commissioner
self. Yeah, Terry, thank you for your presentation. It answered most of my questions and very,
very informative. My question is, is this, um, will the vulnerabilities that have been
exposed by this extreme weather, uh, be incorporated into a long range resilience strategy plan
that will address the continuing impacts of climate change on our area? Well, I can speak
to kind of the long range. As I mentioned early in my presentation, the fact that the
unabated demand would have been 400 megawatts. Uh, we will plan to meet that demand and we
will set up our, our supply portfolio to meet that demand. Uh, with regard to the, your
question about climate change, I think, you know, depending on who, who you read and who
you listen to, uh, while, while this was a very cold event, many scientists have said
it's a result of climate change because of the changing climate. It's, it causes these
types of volatility in weather patterns and we don't know definitively whether that's
true or not, but in any case, all we can do is prepare for that, which we believe could
happen in the future. And, uh, obviously this is a wake up call for all of us that, um,
these episodes of winter cold weather, whether they're repeatable or not, and only time will
tell whether they're repeatable, uh, we need to be prepared for them. And, and we will
do that. We will be prepared for them. It will be not without cost, but we will be prepared
for them. Thanks. I think precaution is the best policy. And just as one quick observation,
if I may, I hope that this also will jumpstart further efforts within city for energy conservation
and building codes that are more, more appropriate for colder weather rather than just heat.
So I mean, it's a, it's a huge picture and I hope that this will initiate a lot more
discussions about what the city as a whole can do to lessen the impacts of these things.
Thank you. Okay. Uh, and, uh, commissioner jumper. Uh, yeah. Hi. So, um, I was curious
to get a little more information about, uh, I guess the practice of hedging, uh, you know,
I'm new to the board, but, um, a couple of days just doesn't seem like a whole lot given
the things we know about Texas with drought and hurricanes and tornadoes and such, um,
is that a standard that what I feel like is a relatively short time. Is that a standard
practice? Uh, what are, what are other places doing? Are we doing better or worse? What,
what, what can you answer to any of that? So what, what do you, uh, if I could just
get one clarifying, when you say a couple of days, what are you referring to? Oh, so
I, you had mentioned, uh, you bought, uh, prepaid on what was it? Thursday or Friday
through the following Tuesday, uh, for energy. So that it doesn't feel like a very long time
to me, but, uh, give me a point of reference. Yeah. So the markets trade in, um, you can
buy and hedge a year at a time, a quarter at a time, a month at a time, a week at a
time, a day at a time, balance of the week, uh, all those products trade in the marketplace.
And so depending on what risk you're trying to cover, uh, you can transact, uh, on any
of those temporal periods. So in our hedging plan, because we look at monthly, uh, our
monthly exposure, we generally are doing monthly transactions, some annual transactions, because
we do hedge out into the future, uh, a significant amount. Um, in this particular case, what
was unique about it, not only was the weather abnormal and just, uh, you know, an eight
sigma or a black swan event from a probability perspective, the fact that it occurred over
a long weekend that was a bank holiday exacerbated our ability to actually react to the changing
weather. And if you may recall the week running up to the storm, the weather forecast kept
getting colder and colder and colder. And the weather kept moving out one more day, one
more day, and then it would be colder and then it'd be one more day. And so, you know,
we try to be judicious. The use of, uh, of our, our dollars that we have available to
go out and do these, these hedges, we don't want to get too far in front of it because
if we buy at a high price and then the weather doesn't come in, that we find ourselves in
a position where we have to liquidate into a much lower price market and lose money that
way. And likewise, we don't want to not hedge and expose ourselves to significant financial
risks. Now, if we had a crystal ball and we knew that, that gas demands would be at all
time highs and that we had the potential to lose pressure, uh, we would have taken more
aggressive actions, uh, the prior week, but there's just no way to, uh, you know, in the,
in the trading business, you can look back, you don't want a Monday morning quarterback,
but you want to look back to learn, uh, you don't want to second guess because you try
to make the best decisions that you can, given the facts that are in front of you at the
time.
Thank you. So kind of follow up to that, um, would you be able to say like what percentage
of our purchases are, uh, hedged or in real time or whatnot? What can you speak to that?
Uh, yes, um, I can, um, there, we're kind of venturing off into an area that's a commercially
competitive information that's protected under the, uh, under the, uh, appropriate acts or
sections of the, of the statute. Um, but we, we, we, we hedge almost 100% of our expected
demand and our expected generation.
Okay. Thank you. Okay. No other question. Okay. Anyone, uh, so let's go council member
Ryan, and then we'll see if there's any other questions before we circle back. And after
council member Ryan, can someone orient me? So we have a three o'clock meeting, uh, that
we need to start. So I need someone to kind of orient me on where we are and bring me
up to speed, but council member Ryan.
Thank you mayor. Uh, Terry, you, you mentioned a couple of times about the, uh, possibility
of resettlement of ancillary services and we can all understand supply and demand. We
can definitely debate how far that price should be able to go to. That's, that's definitely
something to talk about, but what is involved in ancillary services? And cause I noticed
they made a huge jump.
Yeah, they did. Um, it's, it's a great question. It's not an easy answer. So ancillary services
are the types of non-energy products that the grid needs in order to remain reliable.
There are four main types. One is reg up or regulation up. One is regulation down. One
is spinning reserve. And the fourth one is, uh, regulation reserve regulation, um, a type
of regulation, a third, fourth type of regulation. I'm drawing a blank on it right now. Um, responsive
regulation. So we think about it since we can't really store electricity in a meaningful
way. Yes, there is battery technology, but by and large supply must meet demand at every,
every millisecond. And so as people turn on lights, turn on motors, uh, you're increasing
the demand or decreasing the demand and the spinning generators in the grid have to be
able to react to that. So ERCOT has set up these four products called ancillary services
to enable them to call on reg up, reg down, spinning reserve in order to meet that variation
in the demand and in the generation. So if you lose a generator in the grid, you have
to bring another one up to take its place. And that's what ancillary services are. They
actually clear in a competitive market. There's bids and offers and they're cleared in the
day ahead market based upon bids and offers that are in the marketplace. Typically those,
uh, those will be right around the same price as energy, which would be in the 20 to $30
a megawatt hour range. But, uh, we saw prices as high as $24,000 a megawatt hour for some
of these ancillary services during the storm event. Okay. So with this, that would be like
when they were paying us to be on stand for full generation, but we were only at partial
that was, so we were responsive reserve at that point. Okay. Uh, and then my other question
when it comes to winterization, uh, you know, we see the coolant and the oil and you know,
that the contracts come through for that. How often do we change the coolant? And is
that something that potentially October, November, when we're not up, we could increase it to
a zero or 10 below and then water it back down, you know, come March. That's a great
question. Um, and we, um, obviously that was one of the things that was debated when the
deck was being designed and yes, you can have a separate standalone, uh, mix of glycol and
water, uh, to be able to get you to sub zero temperature. The problem is, is that once
you convert to that, the residual glycol and materials that are in that mix tend to coat
certain areas and you lose capacity. So once you make that decision, you can no longer
achieve that full output, that 225 megawatts of output. It gets rated down to 200 or so
if we're to go to that. So you'd be, you've had paid, you'd effectively have paid for
225, but you can't only realize 200.
And then lastly, I don't know if you want to make comment on this, but I was in a public
meeting a couple of weeks ago and, uh, representative Patty, who's the chair of the state committee
said affairs committee was there and was talking about this and basically said it was everything
from the well head to the light switch that we had problems with. Uh, and one I'd never
even thought of was that the gas companies did not indicate to the electric companies
what were their compressor stations were that push the gas through the pipes and those compressors
went down and that was a reason why we did see low pressure on the gas lines.
It's absolutely correct. So there were a number of, of electric compressors that were not
considered critical load. And so when the rolling outages hit, uh, those compressors
were in those outages and they could no longer compress the gas and push it down the pipe.
Um, there has been a very concerted effort in the last three weeks to identify all those
locations and to change that classification, to make them critical loads.
Okay. Um, miss miss city, uh, manager, can you orient me on, uh, where we are or I don't
know who's, who's running a presentation that just want to get a feel for how much time.
So we're at two, almost two 30 now. Yes. Yes, mayor. We have, uh, another presentation,
the water wastewater, and then we have the finance portion. So I think what we'll do
if you're amenable is go forward with the finance presentation, see how, uh, that works
out and then look at, see if we have time for the water wastewater. Okay. We'll be glad
to bring the water wastewater back at a later date if, if that's what's needed. Okay. Uh,
so looking at my peers, your thoughts and the board members just want to get a feel
for, um, everyone's thoughts. Mayor, I'm amenable to that here in the finance piece and, uh,
we have the backups on the water wastewater that we've read to prepare. So we have a little
bit of information already and we could maybe hear them another day. Okay. All right. Uh,
any, anyone, any, yes, by, by means, miss Parker, I agree with what Jesse said. Let's
do the finance and we can circle back with wastewater and all the information we need.
Got it. See you, Karen. Thank you. Okay. Thank you, Barbara. Okay. Then, uh, yeah, we'll
do that. Uh, we'll, we'll proceed to the financial presentation. Okay. Cassie Ogden is here to
present the finance presentation. Cassie Ogden, director of finance. Um, here to talk about
the electric fund financial update. So let me share my screen and we'll get started.
So we're going to go quickly through the, where the fund was pre winter storm, post
winter storm, kind of the current state in our uncertainties and then next steps along
with kind of a calendar for you. So going into the, before the winter storm, um, the
electric fund, um, was in a, we felt like a good place given the healthy fund balance.
We were in excess of a hundred million in our, in our fund balance, which was well above
our reserve targets of 36 to 48 million. Um, we had, we exceeded our debt coverage ratio
of 1.25 target. Uh, we had an annual debt service payment of 49 and a half million.
You may remember our commercial paper program was approved in January, um, right before
the winter storm and we had not issued any commercial paper notes. Um, and as you see
on the screen, our actual purchase power expenses for previous years were, um, between 60 to
90 million, um, for the entire year going into the storm. So post winter storm, um,
as you've already heard Terry talk about, we incurred, um, 209.8 million in collateral
ancillary charges for Urquhart, um, which was substantially higher than what we've paid
in previous years combined. Um, we had, we, in order to meet our cashflow needs, we did
issue a hundred million dollars of commercial paper notes, which we discussed with city
council on February 19th, that Friday of the, um, of the storm. And, um, along with the,
the notes issuance S and P downgraded the utility system debt rating from AA negative
to a plus. Um, they also placed 21 other entities on credit watch with a negative implication
and along with bitch place all Texas public utilities on a negative credit watch. Um,
so for the winter storm finance had started a fund balance policy analysis to determine
the appropriable amount or the excuse me, the appropriate amount of cash on hand required
for the electric fund. Obviously given, um, the conditions of the winter storm, that fund
balance analysis and our assumptions have changed as a result. Um, and so now we are,
we're going back to the table and looking at, um, what the correct fund balance needs
to be, um, given the winter storm and the possibilities surrounding our cash flow. Um,
and we, I do want to know, we did discuss with our financial advisors yesterday, um,
the hundred million dollars of commercial or I'm sorry, a fund balance that we had going
into the storm is likely going to be the minimum fund balance target going forward for the
electric fund. So current state where we're at, we did issue the hundred million dollars
of commercial paper notes. Um, we will be bringing back to council and PB for consideration,
uh, refunding those with longterm revenue bonds. Um, additionally, given the additional
expenses and kind of uncertainty with the uplift and the market repricing, we may, um,
have to, um, issue additional bonds to four for 40 to 60 million, um, for those expenses
if they're incurred. And how do we pay for all of these expenses? Well, we are looking
at an ECA rate adjustment, um, based on the total debt issuance. So refunding the commercial
paper notes with longterm revenue bonds will allows us to spread the cost over several
years instead of, um, all in one year. So we're looking at how do we do that, um, across
multiple years instead of doing one large rate increase in a single year, but we're
still working through those recommendations and we want to bring, we're planning to bring
something back to PB and council in April. And so next steps, um, obviously we've, we've
gone through the winter storm incurred, um, expenses to date to meet our purchase power
needs. Uh, we, the city has, the utility system was downgraded by S and P's were on the negative
watch lists for Fitch. Um, we still are uncertain on the total amount that is going to be required
longterm. Um, as we work through that, we're going to bring back, um, recommendations for
PB and council, uh, discussion, uh, regarding rate adjustments and, um, fund balance analysis
and our capital program. And with that, I am, I'll pull it down.
Okay. Thank you. Uh, questions for staff. Okay. Council member Meltzer.
Thank you. Um, as I'm sure you know, the question on everyone's mind is how much will my rates
go up? I heard you clearly say, we don't know yet. You must have some idea. It's unlikely
to be less than X. It's unlikely to be more than Y. Can you give us any kind of, you know,
what's the plausible range? Sure. So, um, we have been running all kinds
of scenarios, um, regarding what possible debt service would look like and how it would
impact the fund. Um, to just give you a range, $100 million of our, uh, longterm debt based
on our current market conditions and our bond rating, uh, would give us, we're approximating
about three and a half percent interest on a 20 year note, which would be almost $6 million
a year for the fund in debt service payments. So, um, that would be an, for an average residential
customer, about a 5% increase. So if we look at the 140 million worst case scenario for
20 year, it's about $8 million a year for the fund, um, in annual debt service payment,
which is about a 7% increase for average residential customer. Obviously that, that changes across
the different, um, customer classes and that's very tentative. That's just, um, where we
are right now, but we will definitely bring back recommendations. I really appreciate
your kind of putting some expectation out there. Thank you. Okay. Uh, any other questions?
Mayor Pro Tem Davis. Thank you, Mayor. Just to follow on to that.
Um, I also really appreciate the range. Um, I know that nobody's trying to hold the finance
department to, to that. It's all dependent on so many things right now, but, um, as that
narrows some, would it be possible to produce something for us, a little table, um, on how
those percentages would impact the different, uh, rate tiers? Um, you know, we, we will
sometimes get things expressed in dollar amounts to the average based on the average residential
bill, that kind of stuff. Um, something like that might be helpful just as, as much as
we can, knowing that we can't guarantee any of that. Absolutely. That's part of what we
plan to bring back in April. Okay. Any other questions for staff? Seeing
none. Oh, okay. Yep. Um, it's, uh, commission Davini. Sorry, another rookie question. What's
uplift? Can you explain the, just explain the term? I could Google it, but I would hate
to see everything that would come in. I'm going to tell Terry, I would pitch him
the hard question. So I'm going to pitch that over to Terry and let him know.
Uh, yes. Good afternoon. Uh, uplift is a term of art that we have kind of coined and it's
in the, uh, ERCOT protocols. It represents the short payments that ERCOT does not receive
from its market participants. So, uh, in this case right now there's, uh, $3.2 billion of
non-payment in the ERCOT market for this event. A bulk, a good deal of that is associated
with the two bankruptcies that I mentioned, um, two cooperative bankruptcies. And until
those bankruptcies are settled and we see how much they actually pay, it's not going
to be zero. It'll be some number above zero, but we won't know exactly how much short pay
will be uplifted to the rest of the market. So it means distributed to the rest of the
market. Yes, ma'am. It's, it's, it's allocated on a pro rata share, uh, based upon your level
of market participation. And as you're probably aware, we have filed a lawsuit against ERCOT
to dispute the, uh, the legality of that practice. Okay. Thank you. And Terry, if, if you get
a call from a confused UNT reporter, I explained it as though 10 people go to eat at Outback
Steakhouse and only eight of them have money. And the other, uh, the bill for the 10 gets
dispersed amongst the eight. So, uh, analogy mayor, great analogy. So buyer beware. Okay.
Any other questions? Uh, before I come back to you, let me see. Any, anyone else? Okay.
Councilmember Meltzer. So, you know, the, the massive part of the heist, if you will, um,
you know, it could only be addressed, I think through, well, either the attorney general
taking action or, or as far as I know, the legislature taking action to say, you know,
people shouldn't be backing up the Brinks truck during a declared disaster. I don't
know if the legislature will have the courage to take that on, but at what point do we know
if there'll be action on that front or not? At what point do we say time, you know, it's
just not going to happen. And we have to figure out other ways to resolve the financial impact.
So we do know the a hundred million. Um, that's, that's what we've already expensed. We do
have those commercial notes outstanding. So that is the immediate need right now. Um,
the 40 to 60 million, um, range that I gave you in the presentation, that's really what's
uncertain. But let's say the, you know, not just 32 hours were unwound, but the entire
period of the declared disaster that would address the a hundred million as well. I'm
not saying it reverses it and now we're plus, but you know, um, I mean, that would be the
point of addressing the, the full range of, you know, the event would be to restore, uh,
you know, to the injured market participants like us. So that's what I'm asking even about
the a hundred million. At what point do we say there's no chance that won't happen? I
guess I might try to answer the question, uh, council member Melzer. Uh, I think, you
know, the reality is, is that if, if the market were, if, if somehow the market were going
to be resettled to a, um, cost based settlement. So the fact that many participants paid astronomical
numbers for natural gas is going to result in very high prices for electricity that was
purchased in the spot market, whether it was real time or day ahead. So as I mentioned,
we paid as high as $700. Uh, so unless the gas piece is unwound as well, which I'm saying
it should be. Yeah, I just don't know. You know, natural gas is a internationally traded
commodity and to, to unwind, uh, that is just, I mean, it's, I w I can't see how it's going
to be done because that money has already been settled and it's been dispersed around
the globe, uh, to try to recapture that money by, uh, by clearing entities, by brokers,
by all the people that are involved in that market is just a daunting task that I don't
know that quite frankly there'd be legal right to be able to do that or even how they would
be able to do it. So while, while I think your point is a good one, that if, if it were
totally unwound, I think, uh, you know, the fact fact is that we, we bought more energy
than we sold probably would say that our bill would be lower, but that that's about the
extent of which I can kind of speculate on, on your question. My question was about when,
when do we know there's no chance of anything happening legislatively? I would guess after
the end of the session, if that, if that Senate bill is not passed, uh, then I guess we would
know at that point. Okay. Cause that could have some bearing on, you know, at what point
we would want to take action that would potentially affect customers. Okay. All right. Um, so
any other questions before we close, uh, this, this segment out, get ready for our three
o'clock meeting. Okay. Well, come from armature. Uh, yeah. Could you go into, uh, just, just
a little more detail with the time constraints in mind, obviously about, you know, the, the
differences, um, between, uh, paying off, uh, revenue bonds versus a commercial paper.
Um, you, you mentioned the time, uh, what, what other differences are there? Sure. So
our commercial paper notes, um, they mature after 90 days. We do have an extendable program,
so we can extend them for up to 270 days. Um, and then, um, we could make the decision
at that point to, um, roll to another note, or we could, um, refund with revenue bonds.
And per our, um, um, per the guidance, um, in the, by the statutes, we have to, if we
refund, we have to use revenue funded bonds. And so of course, so revenue bonds obviously
paid for with, uh, DM, DME revenue versus commercial paper or CO, GO bonds, uh, could
be from the entire general fund. Uh, so when we talk about transferring to revenue bonds,
you know, regardless of the amount and the time we're talking about rate payers, uh,
you know, being, being responsible for, for paying that off. Is that fair to say? Yes.
I think that's fair to say the commercial paper program that was approved that we did
issue the notes through was specific to utilities. So it was, um, contemplated or set up for
electric water, wastewater, and it is paid through by rates. Okay. And so, well, can
you just, can you explain exactly why not that I'm doubting it. I just, just need to
learn more, you know, why, uh, could we only refinance with revenue bonds and not, um,
you know, some other kinds of bonds that state law, federal law. I don't know, David, if
you want to take this one. Um, it's my understanding that's a statute requirement that, um, because
it's, it's the commercial paper program is established for our utility system. We have
to, um, if we were to refund for, with revenue bond, I mean, with, if we were to refund with
bonds, it has to be revenue bonds because those are backed by, um, utility rates. Sure.
And I would add David Gaines, assistant city manager, and everything Cassie said is correct.
Our bond council did inquire, uh, that raise that exact question to the attorney general
to state confirmation. The attorney general's office did confirm that we would have to take
revenue bonds out to pay back the commercial paper because it's utility back commercial
paper. Okay. All right. Thank you. Just, uh, I'll just mention, you know, I, I like, uh,
council member Meltzer, I'm sure like, uh, you know, most people here, you know, concerned
about the impact on our, on our rate payers. Uh, and I know staff is too, so we'll, we'll
be watching those calculations very closely moving forward. Okay. Mayor Pro Tem.
I just want to add to what David said about the statutory requirements. Not every DME
rate payer is a city of debt and taxpayer and not every city of debt and taxpayer is
a DME rate payer. So it would be, uh, I think unethical for us to shift a major debt burden
from rate payers over to taxpayers with, uh, general revenue bonds. Um, so I'm, I'm, I'm
glad that the statute makes us keep it siloed that way because we also have rate payers
that are quite large, you know, UNT, Walmart, Target, distribution centers. Um, that's a
different base of people who are paying for that debt that we're talking about now than
the folks who pay for our general revenue debt. Okay. Thank you. Um, assuming no other
questions. Okay. Great. Thank you. Thank you, Cassie. And, um, so, uh, Ms. City, Ms. City
Manager, uh, you'll bring back the other presentation. Is there anything else we need to take up
before we adjourn for a short break before we come back at three?
No, Mayor, if you're, uh, amenable to this, I think what we'd like to do is, um, if you're
on board with this is schedule another joint meeting like this so we could share it also
with the public utilities board at the same time. Um, so they could hear this as well.
I mean, obviously it could be shared with them at another meeting, but I do think there
is value in discussion between the two, um, the board as well as the council. And we could
find a time maybe to, uh, to do the water wastewater item, uh, together. Sure. Yeah.
And there may be more known at that point as well to answer some of the legacy questions.
So that'd be, that'd be a good opportunity. Thank you, Mayor Pro Tem Davis for, uh, kind
of bringing us to the, to the floor to get scheduled. Uh, and thank you for filling in.
Okay. Well, with that then, yes, we'll do that. And, uh, but thank everyone. Sorry for,
for missing some of it, uh, but, um, did enjoy the conversation. So at, uh, I'm going to
conclude this, uh, joint session, uh, on the city council and at 2 46 PM.